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Adidas CEO reveals how the company pulled off a startling American turnaround, what he thinks the future of sportswear will be, and why Kanye West is still good for business

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Adidas

  • Three years ago, Adidas shifted its entire global strategy to try and capture more of North America, the largest market for sportswear.
  • It has since seen explosive growth, with the company capturing more market share in the US from rivals and consistently announcing gains in the 30-40% range.
  • The man who led the charge, Adidas' former North American president, Mark King, stepped down earlier this year and was replaced by the second-in-command, Zion Armstrong.
  • In an interview with Business Insider, Armstrong and Adidas CEO Kasper Rorsted discussed the company's North American strategy, its biggest opportunities, dealing with potentially tricky partners like Kanye West and Amazon, and the future of the sportswear business.

Four years ago, things weren't looking so good for Adidas in the United States. It had fallen to the third spot in terms of sportswear sales, behind Under Armour and Nike.

A year later, that started to change. 

To get Adidas back on top, it re-oriented its business and put North America — the top global market for sportswear — first.

It beefed up its Portland, Oregon, headquarters, hired new designers from some of its rivals, and embraced its identity as a global company. It also collaborated with cultural icons like Kanye West as well as athletes.

The brand integrated itself into the fashion world, leading to popular retro looks like the Stan Smith, and it gained cultural cachet. It got its athleisure groove on with popular models like the running-inspired yet fashionable UltraBoost sneaker.

In keeping with its core identity, it also grew its athletics partnerships with American universities.

The turnaround looks to be working. Sales growth has been steady over the last three years, leading to year-over-year gains in the 30-40% range nearly every quarter. It's now No. 2 in North America. 

After this staggering growth, Adidas' turnaround king and the head of its North American business, Mark King, decided to step down a year earlier than initially planned.

Business Insider sat down with CEO Kasper Rorsted and Adidas' new head of North America, Zion Armstrong, to talk about how the company got to where it is — and where it's going next.

The following interview was edited for length and clarity.

A global strategy 

Zion Armstrong

Kasper Rorsted: We have a clear strategy and a clear set of tasks for 2020, and what we're trying to do in this country is, along with China and online, really put all our focus in these three markets. The reason is that North America is 40% of the global market. China is 10%. So that means two countries represent 50% and the fastest-growing channel globally is online. So that's where we're putting a lot of focus on.

In North America, you've had three very, very good years over the last few years. We assume this year is also going to be a very good year. We're still in catch-up mode for the US. That's the only country of real relevance in the world where our market share is as low as it is here and that's simply due to the history of where we're coming from that it took a long time for us to really understand what the US is all about.

I believe that in the last three to four years, we have done that increasingly well and that's why we've outgrown the market in the last three to four years and we'll also outgrow the market this year, which means market share gain.

Overall, we are on a good journey. We still have a long way to go. We're investing a lot of resources in North America, whether it's in people, or it's in infrastructure, or it's buildings, or it's sports assets, and we will continue to do so also in the future. That's a bit setting the scene.

Changing of the guard

Business Insider: We have a little bit of a regime change in North America. Can you talk about what that means?

Rorsted: A company should only change its direction because of business, not because of people. Zion and Mark had worked together since 2015. It was planned that Mark would retire in 2019, but he retired in 2018. It was very uneventful in that context because it was what we planned. It happened a year earlier than we originally anticipated, which made no difference. The US has done exceptionally well on the leadership of both Zion and Mark.

I think it's much better for a company to make a generation change when things are going well than when things are not going well, because not going well means you have to have a knee-jerk reaction. Going well makes it — for a lot of people — more difficult because you gotta maintain the going well, but it's a better position to do it in.

Zion Armstrong: I've worked in four continents now for Adidas. Having four years of working alongside Mark, it was a perfect succession in terms of really getting to understand the market, getting to understand the sport, everything with it. For us it was a very seamless succession plan.

As Kasper said, it was one year earlier than what I expected and hoped for. But in terms of the day-to-day, it's been relatively smooth.

BI: Was the company just in the right shape? Was it where you had gotten it to at that point, where it was time?

Rorsted: No, I can tell very clearly, Mark had some personal things he needed to deal with and he lives in San Diego. The company is in Portland, and the customers are here, and Mark said, "I can't get business and my private life to work anymore." And I know him very well, I said, "Mark, you're too old for me to ask you, 'Will you please reconsider?'"

We still have a very close relationship to Mark right now. He and I were speaking about a senior hire that we are contemplating in the company, and Mark is interviewing that candidate today, so he's part of the company still. But, of course, Zion is the boss and running the company.

Adidas

BI: You mentioned that you're playing catch-up. What will it look like when you've caught up?

Rorsted: I don't know whether you ever come to a point where you say you caught up.

Armstrong: I hate coming second.

Rorsted: The point is that the market-share delta to the market leader in the US is ... as I've said before, it is the only country where that delta is so big. What we have done the last three years, what we are doing this year also, is we are consistently growing market share. We have to, over a long period of time, continue to grow market share in the US.

That's how it's going to look, that we have continuous improvement. It's not like, you come to an end point and say, "Now you've done it." I think that's a continuous journey. What we say is for the company: overall we need to grow market share, we need to grow margin. That's a company target, and that's a target for the US also.

BI: So when you look at trying to grow market share, what do you think the biggest opportunities are in the US?

Armstrong: Where we are today in footwear is around 12%. Four years ago we were at four. We have had tremendous growth in footwear. The pleasing piece right now is the portfolio across categories and channels. Three years ago, we were highly dependent on lifestyle distribution. Today we've got growth in sporting goods and specialty, the commercial channel, of course, and our [direct-to-consumer] channels.

[It's a] much more balanced business. Even with that tremendous growth, there's still significant market share opportunities across all those channels and all of the categories. On the apparel side, especially this year, we've started to see some real acceleration driven through sporting goods. We're still No. 3 in apparel, where in footwear we're a clear No. 2.

But we're seeing phenomenal momentum, and our future orders continue to look very, very positive.

It's not a sports-oriented fashion company — it's a fashion-oriented sports company

BI: Is the apparel more fashion-oriented?

Armstrong: Right now it has been driven by training and athletics and [it is] sport-inspired. Again, different channels, different distribution, making sure that we're clearly segmenting the products, that we're seeing fantastic success. At the same time, Originals apparel continues to be on fire. Apparel is very balanced today.

As the brand gets stronger and stronger, then the kids come with it. We're really starting to see some nice growth in young creators as well. That's our internal word for kids apparel.

BI: Kids love comfort and style just as much as adults?

Armstrong: Well, they like looking up to who's wearing it, right? Being on the sporting field, off the sporting field, and what mom and dad are wearing, and how they see mom and dad wearing it. We're seeing some really nice growth in youth apparel as well.

BI: Adidas has such a legacy of being athletic-inspired and athletic, period. Was it difficult going from being more fashion-oriented to selling more of the performance-based product?

Armstrong: I think that's a very US view. Having worked in multiple markets and geographies, it's not the same case. But yes, in our situation, lifestyle got us going in 2015. Today our sport growth is far outpacing our lifestyle base. We've had phenomenal momentum, and the key part of "Creating The New" for us was authenticating ourselves in US sports.

The investment we put in there — be it football, baseball, basketball, hockey, soccer — is really starting to pay dividends. Very happy with our sport progress.

Adidas

BI: So those are the biggest sports — baseball and hockey?

Armstrong: Not in terms of revenues, but in terms of authenticating the brand in sport.

We have 200 NFL players to date. And they're not normal players. You've got the Aaron Rodgers, you've got the Dak Prescotts, the DeAndre Hopkins, etc., so we're really getting the right players. In baseball, Aaron Judge here with the Yankees. JD Martinez in Boston, you've got Justin Turner with the Dodgers, you've got [Carlos] Correa. 

Four years ago, we didn't have these players. Today we've got a stable across multiple categories that's authenticating the brand on the field. The kids that are playing the sports are looking up to those icons and we see great sell-through. We're much more balanced today versus where we were when we were dependent on lifestyle three or four years ago.

Rorsted: But, I think, the important part, though, is the company. We're a sports company. We're not a fashion company. Two-thirds of our business comes from sport. The past origin and future direction is that the core of our company is being a sports company. That does not mean that we don't create great athleisure wear products.

The moment that we come out and say we will be a "fashion company"— that will simply be problematic with who we are and what we want to be and what the culture of our company is all about. That's one element.

The second element is that the public perception is sometimes different because if a Kanye West makes a statement, that statement creates more attention than when people go out and run on a Saturday in a pair of running shoes.

The public will very often see the biggest authenticator speak. And they are very often related to fashion or pop. But actually, the core of the company is sport. That's where the core of the revenue is coming, that's where the R&D is going in. That's where the investments are going in.

Of course, we want to continue to set and inspire the trend that is athleisure.

BI: Right now, is the culture more receptive or interested in athletics and sports with the athleisure trend? Is it almost like the culture is coming to you, in a way?

Rorsted: I wouldn't say so. I think that we were the first that grabbed the non-sports culture and brought it into sport. I think that we were very early on with Kanye West, we were early on with Stella McCartney, with Pharrell, and getting that balance between lifestyle and fashion and sport. I think we were the early adopters in that. The industry has changed in that direction.

Today, you wear a pair of sneakers. You don't really know the sneakers. Are they running sneakers? Are they non-running sneakers? What are they, you know? It is an artificial separation. Of course, there's maybe five or 10% of our products that are fashion. But I will still say, two-thirds, even our Original products, you can use for running, for training, for whatever. They're used for personal use outside the training ground.

Armstrong: I think that the consumer today, as well, has moved on from years ago when your kid was a soccer player or a football player. They associate themselves with that sport after the game. Today, they want higher performance produced on the field of play. When they come off the field of play, they want to express the individuality.

That's where music/art culture and the sport culture comes in. That's where you're truly seeing on-field and off-field. That's where we're perfectly positioned to capture both. Some other brands don't have that opportunity. When you really look at some of our assets and think of DeAndre Hopkins down in Houston. One of the best wide receivers in the game, he's also in the front row of our Paris fashion show. 

Connecting those assets, on-field and off-field, has been a key part of us really disrupting the industry as well.

BI: Is that a hard balance to strike, between style and sport?

Rorsted: No, but it has to be a deliberate decision. You've got to be clear on what you are and how you want to be. We're going to be the best sports company in the world. We never speak about, in our mission statement, anything else than that, so it's a deliberate decision. That also means there are certain categories that we don't go into.

Adidas

Even our fashion-related product has to have an origin in sport. As long as you are clear on that, you are a sports company. That's what you're trying to be, and that's what you continue to be, then I don't think it's a hard choice.

We can't manufacture a high-heel shoe, as an example. It's a no-go. 

But I think it's being authentic to who we are and what we want to be and that's the important part. If you lose your soul as a company, then you lose the employees. If I were to make a statement tomorrow that we've now done a strategy review and we're going to be half sport and half in fashion, a lot of people are going to say, "I don't want to work at this company. I want to be part of the sports generation."

That sports company serves different purposes on-pitch and off-pitch.

Armstrong: And an athlete wants to look great as well. Take this shoe, for example. The Ultra Boost is, without a doubt, the best running shoe in the world, performance-wise.

At the same time, you can wear it with your khakis. I'm getting old. Or the gym. You're striking that beautiful balance. 

BI: And yet there are people who buy that and definitely don't run at all.

Armstrong: Absolutely.

Rorsted: That's why we think that the borders are artificial. That doesn't mean that you can't be clear on what you want as a company.

You look at the product and see, we spent a very, very large amount of money investing into sport assets, whether that's individuals or that's club or associations in universities. We wouldn't do that if we're not clear on who we were.

The future of plastic

BI: What trends do you see in the next five years? What do you see changing?

Rorsted: I think what we're starting to see now is the impact of technology in the way the products are being designed, being manufactured, being brought to market, and being engaged to the consumer.

90% of our communications today with consumers are digitally. It's not TV-related. And how you then, subsequently, transact with the consumer — that will change much more rapidly than in the past. So I think that is one very, very fundamental trend.

Another trend that I think that a lot of companies underestimate is the impact of plastic. We do it through Parley [for the Oceans, a nonprofit environmental organization that Adidas partners with to turn ocean plastic into materials that can be used to manufacture clothes and footwear]. Plastic is one of the biggest problems for the environment worldwide. Every large CEO I speak to, he or she is trying to figure out, what do we do with plastic, how do we lose plastic? How do we start removing plastic?

Adidas boostWe were one of the first companies that actually were able to integrate sustainability into the business model. That will have a much more profound impact because the consumer, in the medium term, will not tolerate the large companies operating the way they do when it comes to plastic. We are doing it from a product standpoint, whether it's footwear or apparel.

Last year, we banned the use of plastic in our offices. We sent out an announcement: Please remove all plastic from your offices by the end of the year. We're not going to have any [discussion], just do it.

95% did it. I truly believe that the fight against plastic ... to remove plastic and other materials to be replaced, will be much more profound. Because the world can't afford what's happening.

BI: Are the [plastic-centric products] still discrete collections?

Rorsted: No, what you're seeing now is you're seeing beyond footwear and that's why I said it's very deliberate. Now we've started using it in swimsuits. Now you have it in jerseys. You have outdoor jackets.

You're going to see a complete proliferation in our use of Parley across all product lines. It has to be part of our business, and that's why when I say we're going to do five to six million pairs of shoes this year, we have jackets, we have shorts, we have jerseys.

The more we can do, actually, the better it is for us and the better it is for society because we are integrating them in the business model. I think that's the challenge for a lot of companies. When they look upon it, they look upon it purely from a cost standpoint.

We've been able to integrate so it becomes part of our business. Then, of course, it becomes much more powerful because it is not something you do on the side, it is what you do. 

Armstrong: We take it to the next level as well. So at NYCFC we have an initiative to have 50 soccer pitches throughout the city. Some of those pitches, in the future, will be made out of Parley. We're really taking it beyond and making sure that we can educate consumers.

The more we can do this, the more it can really impact us a lot faster. 

We've removed plastic in all of our retail stores as well.

BI: Where was it before? Bags and such?

Armstrong: Yeah, so now it's a recycled brand bag when you come in.

BI: This is very forward-looking, right? Do you think that everyone is going to have to do this eventually?

Rorsted: Eventually, regulation will catch up. I think, unless large companies find a solution for the pollution they create, regulation will address it. There's no doubt in my opinion. The problem is getting out of control.

We believe that it's better to address things or challenges proactively. Also from a business standpoint, it's been an extremely good relationship with [Parley]. That is something that resonates very much. If you tell a consumer there are 11 plastic bottles in my shoe, it's a very simple message that everybody can resonate with.

It's better to not be regulated by regulating yourself.

BI: Always better to regulate yourself?

Rorsted: Clean your own backyard.

Armstrong: I think it's reduce and then it's recycle. At the same time, we've recently announced that by 2024, we will have the complete removal of origin plastic in our creation engine.

Automation and shoelaces — a conundrum with no solution yet

BI: How does that go into automation? The automation stuff that we've been seeing early on was all plastic ... like, molded plastic. But you guys don't use [Parley] in your Speedfactories?

Rorsted: No, but our Speedfactories are still very small-volume. So I think you need to go at these in two different dimensions. One was looking upon the use of materials for a product. Speedfactory is how do we actually manufacture a shoe.

One doesn't preclude the other. Right now the Speedfactory shoe, so far, has not been a Parley shoe. We can bring our Parley shoe [to] the Speedfactory. The Speedfactory is a way of fully automating a product, irrespective of raw material. And Parley is a material, so you can bring the Parley into Speedfactory.

We have two Speedfactories. One in Atlanta, Georgia, and one in Germany. Each of those can manufacture up to 500,000 pairs of shoes annually. Last year, we sold 400 million. So there's still a long way to go there.

BI: Are you taking what you're learned from the Speedfactories and applying it to the rest of the supply chain?

Rorsted: If you go through, there are about 120 to 130 processes in manufacturing a shoe. Then a lot of those processes have already been automated ... in Asia. We're now looking upon it and saying, are the elements, the process elements, of how we manufacture a shoe in a Speedfactory, can we also get that into a large manufacturing plant?

There's one problem that nobody has sorted out yet from an automation standpoint. You know what that is?

Adidas SPEEDFACTORY

BI: I don't.

Rorsted: The shoelace.

BI: Oh, actually lacing the shoes?

Rorsted: That is the single most manual part of the process, and there is no automation for it. If you want to be a billionaire ... you can figure that out.

But it's just interesting. When you look upon it and say, "Here are all the things that we do from laser cutting, from material optimization." For complete automation, it then comes down to a very basic thing and that is just the lacing. 

But it is how we actually take and continue to fine-tune the manufacturing. How do we make each process more optimized?

For instance, when we do a shoe, if you take UltraBoost. We know how many stitches that go into a shoe, what's the cost per stitch, depending on the length of the stitch. It's down to that level of automation or sophistication today in the big manufacturing plants.

Armstrong: Speedfactory has also enabled us to really capitalize on key sporting moments. One of the first thing we did when the Capitals won the Stanley Cup. We were ready to go, whether the Vegas Knights won or the Capitals won.

Within seconds of the Capitals winning, we went live on our Adidas app with a shoe, and we sold out instantaneously. Just two, three weeks ago at the US Open with Billie Jean King, again we did a shoe to commemorate her.

So it really enables you to have that ability to react to something that is really meaningful at that point in time. 

And scarcity, right? Because the Billie Jean King shoe sold out in seconds. Small, small [number of] pairs, but it does create a buzz, and it keeps you on the top of the market.

We've got a few more things coming down the pipeline and especially something very special for Super Bowl 2019.

Creating demand from scarcity

BI: You guys have been so good at creating demand from scarcity. How do you manage that?

Armstrong: A lot of it is making sure we're putting the right product into the right channel, and really being consumer-obsessed. And really making sure we have the appropriate volumes and then, more importantly, how we bring that to market. It's very easy to scale things much too quickly, and that's when you get into trouble.

At the same time, we have a lot of data analytics. Four years ago there was a [small team]. Today there are multiple people that are looking at trend lines, looking at Google lines. Obviously we pre-release some products and we can see the reaction on social media. Is it good? Is it not so good? So it can flex up and down.

Long-term is making sure you get that strong sell-through and then react quickly with a fast supply chain. So that's the key piece. Here in North America, we haven't always gotten it right, but primarily we've gotten it right, and I'm really proud that our inventory are also some of the cleanest we've ever had.

Rorsted: Sometimes we think, you know, people think it's only because you're large and very well-known like Kanye or Pharrell. But to give you a very different example, which created enormous brand heat, there's a set of shoe designers in our Herzogenaurach [,Germany] headquarters with the idea of creating a shoe where the material that was used was from the seats of the Berlin subway system.

So they went out and got ahold of the seats and created 500 pairs of shoes. [They] integrated a pre-paid annual subway card in the shoe. I don't think anybody signed it off. It was just somebody felt it was a good idea to do. We got approximately $25 million of brand value in that, where somebody had a cool idea where, if you'd asked, if you'd done the consensus, everybody would have said no, it's a stupid idea.

The point, though, is having the freedom and having the courage to do something where you don't ask for it because if you ask, then the majority would say no and do something by creating enormous buzz.

There was no sponsorship associated with it. It's just about having innovation and creativity. That goes back and creates scarcity or creates brand heat because somebody thinks completely out of the box.

Fair to say is that of course not everything we do has that amount of impact, but in order to have the impact, we have to have the courage also to do things that don't work. You have to allow these things to fail, because if you only do the things that are certain, you will never get the buzz and the brand heat.

Learning from failure

BI: Have any good examples of failures?

Rorsted: It was not all good this year, but I think that's part of doing business. The Prophere, when we launched that shoe, it was a shoe that was probably not shown the right way. It was probably not the right time. But I think that that's business. Business is about managing risk in an appropriate way.

If somebody will say everything we do is correct and it is successful, that means that you're only mainstream. It took a while before the UltraBoost kicked off. It took a while before the Parley kicked off. It took a while before other shoes kicked off. And some of them don't kick off because that's just the consequence of trying to do something different.

The first version of the Parley shoe was unsellable. You couldn't sell it. It was clunky. It was stiff. That you have to accept just as part of it. Because that's part of doing business. Had the the Berlin thing not worked, 500 pairs of shoes, from a cost standpoint, it doesn't matter. But you've got to allow that creativity to take place. That means also pushing and doing things where if you were to ask, I would say no.

I'm not the consumer. If you create a governing structure in a company where your people are governing innovation, but the people governing innovation are not the consumer, then you're actually misleading the company. Very often if I get asked, I say I don't have an opinion, because my opinion would be misleading.

We don't have dominance where I said here's how all the products have to look. That means sometimes we launch products that I don't like, but I'm not the consumer. Or Zion doesn't like. Or sometimes I like them, and they're very unsuccessful.

BI: That sounds like it's not very top-down.

Rorsted: No, but I think there are certain things that are very top-down. How we run our business. How the brand is being positioned. How we want to be strategically positioned. When it comes to a creation standpoint, I don't think it can be top-down. I think it has to be roots-driven, trends-driven, whether it's our creative arm here in Brooklyn or whether it's the shoemaker in Herzogenaurach that makes a subway shoe.

If you kill that, then you kill the creation.

Armstrong: I think we've had results in the last three to four years. We're proud of the progress. We still have a long way to go, but I think we've got a lot more right than we've got wrong. To answer your question specifically ... there's always some shoes that you have hopes for that fail to meet your expectations, but there's always shoes that come out when trends move quickly given the age of our brand.

Trend-following or trend-setting?

BI: It's clear you guys strive to follow trends closely. How hard is that?

Armstrong: Following or set? I think it's a very important point. There are some times that, yes, you need to catch up. At the same time, we're the creative sports brand. This is something we're immensely proud of in the last few years — we picked our lane to be the creative sports brand. That means being the first and foremost out there. That has driven a lot of our success today.

We'd rather be setting trends versus chasing.

BI: Right. But trends are changing so fast now. 

Armstrong: Yes.

BI: Does that create an issue?

Rorsted: You also have to realize that not all trends originate in the same place. That's the reason why we have our German headquarters. We have a very large setup in Portland and one in China to hopefully ensure that we cover most of the places in the world where relevant trends come up.

But you will still sometimes miss a trend that you see coming and you just don't know. The clunky tennis shoe. Fila, the Disruptor. It just took a ride, and we went back and looked at one. We actually have the same shoe from the '90s and so we recreated that shoe.

Being global, we don't look upon borders as inhibitors but as enablers. And then also we want to be humble and say that we need to get most trends right, but you're not going to get all of them right. Just live with the fact that you're not going to get all of them right.

BI: This is coming back to what you said before — getting more of them right than more of them wrong.

Armstrong: Absolutely. Then, when you see something happening, the ability to scale quickly is paramount. To your point with that mobile phone and access to who's wearing what and access to purchasing it, that has completely changed the game. Four years ago, to get a hype shoe, you lined up outside of Kith or Packers or wherever it may be.

That's no longer the case. You can reserve on apps, etc. That means we've got to bring unique stories consistently. It doesn't mean you have to change the model.

Influencers aren't the only ones setting trends

BI: Influencers seem to be setting trends. Is that a big part of your marketing, using influencers? Or is that trend petering out?

Rorsted: It's a combination of all. First, you have to go back to the earlier part of our conversation. We're a sports brand. Part of the influencers is actually the people on the pitch. That's not the influencers you are speaking about, but Messi is a huge influencer when it comes to sport. He will be the influencer when it comes to football. But, of course, you will have more and more social media influencers.

How do you work with those? How do you ensure that they understand what we're trying to do, how do we get them to push our story? Then, also, being at the part where the trend originates, so with Kanye, Pharrell, Stella McCartney. Also where the creators are.

You've got to be an entire supply chain from creation to influencer to on-pitch authenticator.

Armstrong: I think it comes back to the creator position that we set up for. There's not only creators in art and music, there's also creators on sport and field. We've got some phenomenal partners now that when they come off the pitch they're in the front row of the fashion show.

It's getting that balance right. So I believe we have creators in this industry versus the old days where it's just a basketball player or whoever it may be. Now you've got basketball, football, baseball. Plus the lifestyle piece so we've actually grown the pie.

BI: So it's a holistic kind of thing?

Armstrong: Yeah. I mean, 10 years ago a lifestyle influencer wasn't impacting the sports market. 

Today you've got 70% sports, 30% lifestyle. The lines have blurred. When you come off the football pitch, the guys want to look cool. So they've got the sport performance product on the pitch and when they're off the pitch, they want to express their individuality. For us, we're perfectly positioned to capture both.

Politics and Kanye West

BI: Are there any liabilities with working closely with people that have huge personalities, like Kanye?

Rorsted: I think when you have a business model like ours, of course there are liabilities, but also opportunities that go hand in hand because if one of our biggest assets, whether it's a creator, or a sports star misbehaves, of course, eventually it could have a negative impact on the perception of the brand.

We will then look upon it and say, "Who do we want to engage with?" Of course, we look upon what they bring to the table, and whether they represent certain views that are not aligned with our values. 

At the same time, when you engage with people of very high creativity, they are different in the way they act, the way they behave. That's part of the equation, what they bring to the entire table. That they are so different. If you want the mainstream, you get the mainstream all the way.

Kanye West and Donald Trump in the Oval Office on Thursday.

If you want the ultimate creativity, then you get that, and you have to live with the fact that sometimes some person will say something that maybe you don't subscribe to, but there might be others that do subscribe to it. I think the latter is important.

We operate in 75 countries. If you start putting the glasses of appropriateness on, is it your appropriateness? Is it mine? Is it the one in China? Who is actually measuring the level of appropriateness that the company is being judged upon?

That's why, when we look upon it, we basically have hardly any political view. We have a very strong view on sustainability. We have a very strong view on fair trade and labor. On violence and stuff like that. That we have a very clear view on. Frankly, we can't have a view on politics.

Because if you're in 75 countries, by default you have 75 different governmental systems.

BI: Because the US culture is so stratified and polarized, would you guys never do something that was an outright political statement?

Rorsted: No, no we wouldn't. But ... we basically made a statement externally 18 months ago about immigration policy in the US. So we will do that, but we do that very seldom because frankly, it's not our role to sit and comment on every political element.

I do make, on an ongoing basis, statements about what we think about. [For example, what] I think, personally, about Brexit, which is a political statement. Or education. Or diversity. So we make statements that are politically related. But we don't sit and make political judgments every single day because, frankly, that's not the business we're in. We're running a business. We will make statements to things that either have an impact on our company or the society we're in if we think it has a grave negative impact.

BI: But younger consumers are looking for their brands to mean something.

Rorsted: There's two things. They're looking on one side for brands to mean something. I'll give you a statement that I read over the weekend. One-quarter of the German population states ... that they almost all the time, or very often only, buy meat from "green cows."

If you ask a consumer [in a] survey they will say that. The real stat is like 3%. If you do a market research study in the US and you call 1,000 people and say, "Is sustainability important for you, does it impact your shopping?" They will say yes. Then they go in the supermarket and they will do something different.

So of course, consumers react. But there is something that reacts in the moment and emotionally, there is something that impacts their real behavior. We think that they actually react positively to us having creators that have very different points of view which are controversial.

We think consumers react very positively when you do something that's good for society like Parley.

Armstrong: Our internal culture is so important as well.

This is not about hitting the quota. These are about bringing talents along that have been with the company for a long time, taking us to the next level.

In terms of making sure that our internal population reflects our consumer, our talent-acquisition team is going into schools that are traditionally black schools and putting jobs on the table. Just recently we got a very cool initiative that we've gone out to these areas, to retail stores, to our distribution centers, providing people opportunities that they never would have thought they had, an opportunity to work at headquarters.

We're going to do that time after time after time, to make sure when you walk into Portland or New York, our internal employees reflect the consumer. Inclusivity around Gen Z is super important so it's a big internal focus, let alone the political statements.

BI: How are you targeting Gen Z and older groups, like millennials?

Armstrong: I think pay equity is super important. We're very proud of what we've achieved internally over the last two years, that we've closed the gap to less than 2% pay equity, male, female. 

We supported Sheryl Sandberg and "Lean In." [We were] one of the only companies in North America to promote that. 

So there are multiple internal initiatives that we've been doing so that Gen Z really feels our environment is safe and inclusive. Every three months now we do what we call a people-pop survey. The question was: how do we get better?

Just really making sure, to Kasper's point, that we also listen to our employees.

Adidas' partnership with Amazon isn't always easy

Amazon

BI: Amazon is a big partner for you guys. What is the advantage you see in Amazon, and how does it relate to your overall e-commerce strategy?

Rorsted: E-commerce strategy is all about us connecting directly to the consumer. That's the most important part. That's why we say Adidas.com is the most important store in the world. That's directly engaged with the consumer, either through our store or through the app we launched recently, which we rolled out in 25 countries worldwide.

Then, of course, engage with our consumers through some of our online partners, Amazon being one of them. Amazon is a US-only relationship. We don't have a direct relationship in any other markets than the US, and we're looking at whether we should expand it or not. The most important part for us, in any relationship we have with a business partner, is how the brand is being positioned.

We positioned the brand the right way so that it doesn't become a value-driven purchasing experience. Of course, that is a challenge to our relationship with Amazon, because Amazon is driven by two parameters, which are efficiency and price. It's important for us, long-term, to find the right balance between us and Amazon, so that the brand is positioned appropriately.

The difference between Amazon and a normal sporting goods retailer [is] ... if we have an Ultra Boost shoe that we sell for $180 and a wholesaler sells it for $130 in Duluth, nobody cares. If that shoe is in Amazon's setup, they will then say, now the US price is $130.

Then, basically, you just dropped brand value. We're working intensely with Amazon to ensure that we have a good partnership, which we have today, but that we don't jeopardize the brand based on the drives for the lowest cost.

BI: What about data sharing? Does that factor into it at all?

Rorsted: It does, but Amazon does less data sharing than some of our other partners, particularly some of the European partners and Chinese partners like Alibaba. [They have] a different business model. For us, getting access to the data is fundamental, not only in the context of being able to engage directly with the consumer from a commercial standpoint, but it's getting the appropriate feedback for the creation of the next generation of products.

That is, I would say, probably the biggest difference between Amazon and some of our other online partners: their willingness to share data on a very, very detailed level. That, of course, we're working on. It's a battle we have with Amazon.

BI: Does it scare you that they might launch their own UltraBoost knockoff with sales data from you?

Rorsted: No, I think this is competition, and competition is about: we create the right products that are cool, that are innovative. We have the right materials, the right manufacturing. That competition is not the concern we have.

It is a concern that we actually protect the brand that we have. Whether Amazon would want to come up with a shoe, I think eventually that will come or it is coming. That's not the concern of ours. [The concern] is that we don't tarnish the brand, and that we don't make price ... the most important parameter in how the product is being sold.

The moment you do that, you don't have a brand anymore.

SEE ALSO: Adidas CEO explains why he doesn't worry about Kanye West being bad for business

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A Chechen warlord is unhappy with UFC fighter Zubaira Tukhugov because he slapped Conor McGregor instead of punching him

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Ramzan Kadyrov

  • A Chechen warlord is unhappy with the UFC fighter Zubaira Tukhugov's behaviour at UFC 229.
  • Tukhugov was one of Khabib Nurmagomedov's teammates who was seen on video invading the UFC octagon and attacking Conor McGregor after the Irishman's stunning loss.
  • Tukhugov then bragged on Instagram that he "slapped" McGregor during the post-fight brawl.
  • But Kadyrov does not approve of the slap as it was seemingly not a sufficient attack.
  • If it were to happen again, Kadyrov advised Tukhugov to strike "like you were taught in the meadows of your village."

Ramzan Kadyrov, head of the Chechen Republic in Russia, is unhappy with Chechen athlete Zubaira Tukhugov.

Tukhugov is the UFC fighter who was seen on video invading a UFC octagon and blindsiding Conor McGregor during an ugly brawl after UFC 229 on October 6.

McGregor had just tapped to a fourth round submission against UFC lightweight champion Khabib Nurmagomedov, who refused to celebrate the victory and instead mounted the octagon fence and charged at McGregor's cageside friend Dillon Danis.

While that was going on, all hell broke loose inside the octagon itself as Tukhugov, together with other members of Nurmagomedov's team, seemingly attacked McGregor.

Tukhugov, who was threatened with the sack by the UFC boss Dana White over his alleged involvement, bragged on Instagram that he "slapped" McGregor.

But this has not gone down well with Kadyrov, a politician described by the western media as a warlord and by a Russian politician as Vladimir Putin's "guard dog."

For Kadyrov, Tukhugov's attack was insufficient and not representative of "Chechen custom."

According to RT, Kadyrov said: "Zubaira, you know who you are and where you’re from! I remember you from when a spritely young boy from the Tukhugov family regularly fought in the fields near Tsentaroy."

RT claims Kadyrov said he "saw the slap" he gave McGregor and that Tutkhugov's behaviour during the UFC 229 melee was not "according to the custom" of Chechnya. If it were to happen again, Kadryov said he should strike "like you were taught in the meadows of your village."

Tukhugov responded on Instagram. He said he is proud to be a "villager," and that he was grateful for Kadyrov's "attention and advice."

SEE ALSO: 'S--- happens' — Khabib Nurmagomedov's manager reacts to the chaotic violence that followed his fighter's win over Conor McGregor

DON'T MISS: 'Vladimir Putin is very proud of me' — Khabib Nurmagomedov talks to the press after the wild brawl that followed his submission win over Conor McGregor

UP NEXT: Ramzan Kadyrov: These photos show how the World Cup is being used to whitewash everything terrible about Russia

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The video game industry is going to have a very happy holiday season — these 6 charts show why (EA, ATVI)

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  • Video game sales should be robust this holiday season, UBS analyst Eric Sheridan predicts in a new report.
  • More consumers say they plan to buy this year's versions of top game franchises than previous iterations, according to the report.
  • Significant portions of consumers plan to spend on extras, such as premium version of the games, UBS said.

This holiday season is shaping up to be a merry one for video-game makers, particularly for industry giants Activision Blizzard and Electronic Arts.

Sales of this year's versions of top games look set to exceed last year's, UBS financial analyst Eric Sheridan, who covers the game industry, said in a new report. And significant numbers of gamers polled by the financial firm say they're intent on spending extra money for premium editions of particularly titles or on downloadable content, Sheridan said.

The "data points to a strong holiday season for video games," he said.

Part of what's driving Sheridan's bullishness is the large portions of consumers who say they've either purchased or plan to buy some of the top titles this holiday season. A whopping 40% of gamers surveyed said they're at least "somewhat likely to buy""Call of Duty: Black Ops 4," the latest title in Activision's long-running franchise. Some 37% plan to buy Ubisoft's "Assassins Creed: Odyssey," and 36% "Red Dead Redemption 2" from Take-Two Interactive's Rockstar Studios.

Sheridan's report was based on UBS's surveys of more than 5,000 consumers in five key markets — the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Japan, and China. Those surveyed all ranged in age from 18 to 44; play games on consoles, dedicated handheld gaming devices, or PCs; and have played at least one game in the last six months.

Intent to buy major games during 2018 holiday season, from UBS survey

In many cases, more gamers are saying they plan to buy this year's installment of particular game franchises than previous ones. Just 23% of gamers said last year they planned to buy "Call of Duty: WWII"— 17 percentage points less than this year's version. Some 34% of gamers said they plan to buy EA's "FIFA 19;" last year, just 22% said last year that they planned to buy "FIFA 18." And 23% say they'll pick up a copy of the company's "Madden 19," while just 13% said a year ago they planned to buy "Madden 18."

Chart showing gamer intent to buy top Electronic Arts and Activision titles, based on UBS data.

Gamers say they'll spend more for downloadable content

What's also spurring Sheridan's optimism is consumer's willingness to spend extra on games.

On average, more than half of the gamers who said they've already bought or planned to buy at least one of 15 top games this year planned to purchase downloadable content for the game. Downloadable content can range from inexpensive virtual items like new clothes for a character to more expensive things such as expansion packs.

With some games, the vast majority of their players intend to buy such extras. Some 76% who said they play or plan to play "PlayerUnknown's Battlegrounds" said they've already purchased or plan to buy downloadable content for it.

UBS chart showing intent to buy downloadable content (DLC) for particular games during holiday 2018.

Meanwhile, on average more than a third of consumers who said they planned to buy one of those 15 games said they expected to pay extra for a premium version of that title. For example, some 39% of gamers who plan to get "NHL 19," say they'll spend up for one of the more expensive versions of the title. 

UBS chart on portion of consumers who plan to buy the premium editions of games during holiday 2018.

It could be a big year for "Call of Duty"

Taking into account such data, Sheridan forecast that several of this year's top games will see stronger sales than previous installments. 

Activision should sell about 24 million copies of "Call of Duty: Black Ops 4," compared to about 20 to 21 million copies it sold of last year's "Call of Duty: WWII," he said. Sales of the company's "World of Warcraft: The Battle for Azeroth" should hit 10 million copies; Activision sold about 8 million copies of 2016's "World of Warcraft: Legion," he said.

Activision game sales holiday 2018, UBS chart

EA should similar similar gains with its biggest titles, Sheridan said. Sales of its "FIFA 19" are likely to hit 22 million copies, up from around 20 million for "FIFA 18," he said.

Electronic Arts 2018 holiday game sales chart from UBS

As part of his report, Sheridan reiterated his "buy" rating and price targets on Activision and EA. His price target for Activision is $88 a share; for EA, it's $166 a share.

Activision closed regular trading Thursday down $6.49, or 8.3%, to $71.81. EA was off $2.99, or 2.8%, to $105.80.

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Theresa May has only one real option for survival left — a soft Brexit

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  • Theresa May is running out of options to secure her survival and the passage of a Brexit deal.
  • Conservative MPs are threatening to torpedo her plans.
  • The only viable option left open to her is to change course and accept the softest of Brexits, with Britain effectively staying in the EU Single Market and Customs Union.
  • Doing so would trigger fury from Conservative MPs but would open the door to securing support from opposition parties.
  • May has just months to secure a deal or risk a catastrophic exit from the European Union.

LONDON — The last few weeks of the Brexit process must have felt like the closing stages of a particularly brutal chess game for Theresa May.

At every turn, the options open to her have been gradually whittled away until all of the available moves are obviously bad ones that will either lose her crucial lieutenants or rapidly force her into an early checkmate.

As a result, she now enters what the Times today calls"the most perilous week of her premiership," with Conservative MPs poised to move against her.

And yet as she leaves Brussels late on Friday there remains just one option left which promises, if not victory, then at least short-term survival for the prime minister.

That option is a soft Brexit.

At first, this may sound like a ludicrous proposition. A soft Brexit, in which Britain stays closely aligned to the EU single market and the customs union, would trigger outright fury from a large chunk of the Conservative parliamentary party, not to mention the grassroots across the country who are even more pro-Brexit than their parliamentary representatives. It would also likely trigger a challenge against her with the necessary 48 Tory MPs submitting letters to party authorities calling for a new leadership vote.

And yet were such a challenge to take place it is easy to see how May could defeat it. While the loudest Conservative MPs are currently threatening insurrection, there is a silent majority who would be willing to bend in order to avoid a catastrophic no-deal scenario. As one moderate Conservative MP told Business Insider: "A no deal scenario is an absolute nightmare and one which the vast majority of the Conservative party, including myself, look at with horror. The only thing I can 100% say I won't vote for is no-deal."

With Brexit just months away and the prospect of a no-deal increasingly frightening British businesses, the case for her to stay on at least until after Brexit day would be a very easy one for her to make.

A soft Brexit would also largely solve the Northern Ireland dilemma, which currently threatens to wreck the entire Brexit process, and risks triggering the break up of the United Kingdom.

Avoiding checkmate

Theresa May Jeremy CorbynJust as importantly, it is the only available option left which has a potential majority in parliament. With Labour committed to maintaining a customs union with the EU, while maintaining the "exact same benefits" of the single market, a soft Brexit is the only option that has even the possibility of securing their support. Even if dozens of Conservative MPs and the DUP were to vote against May, the deal could still potentially pass thanks to the support of hundreds of Labour MPs.

The Labour leadership may still find a reason to vote against such a deal, especially given their main aim in this entire process is to force an early general election in which they expect to emerge as the winners. But there would at least be a chance of a majority in the UK parliament. Under May's current Brexit plans there simply isn't.

Of course May could do all of this and still be forced out. Staying in a customs union would prevent Britain from signing new trade deals, destroying a major Brexit promise and rendering Trade Secretary Liam Fox useless, while staying closely aligned to the single market would mean accepting some form of freedom of movement to continue after Brexit. Both risk potentially deadly outrage in her own party and the country which she may be unable to survive.

But a decisive shift towards a soft Brexit would at least leave a path open to survival for May.

Right now there are only bad options left for the prime minister. But while her current course points to certain checkmate, the soft Brexit option would at least allow the game to continue for a few more moves.

This reality will ultimately prove itself when MPs come to vote on her deal early next year, whether May yet realises it or not. The prime minister would be wise to wake up to that reality now rather than have it forced upon her later.

DON'T MISS: Theresa May told to resign after making 'outrageous' offer to extend the Brexit transition period

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Theresa May leaves Brussels with little Brexit progress and her own MPs threatening mutiny

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Theresa May

  • Theresa May leaves Brussels with no significant progress in Brexit talks.
  • The UK prime minister is under pressure to break key Brexit promises in order to get a deal.
  • Conservative MPs on all sides of the party are losing patience with her leadership.
  • One MP, Johnny Mercer, described his party as a "shitshow" and said he wouldn't vote for it if he wasn't an MP.

 

BRUSSELS, BELGIUM – Theresa May returns to Westminster on Friday facing one of the most dangerous weeks of her premiership, with Conservative MPs from all sides of the party losing patience in her handling of Brexit.

The prime minister leaves the European Council Summit in Brussels with little to show other than a controversial suggestion that 12 months could be added to the proposed 21-month transition period to deliver an orderly exit.

Conservative MPs reacted furiously to this on Thursday. Nick Boles, who up until now has been relatively supportive of May, said the news had pushed Tories "close to despair." Pro-Brexit MPs made fresh calls for May to be ousted.

The fury continued into Friday, with The Times predicting"the most perilous week of her [May's] premiership."

Former Brexit Secretary David Davis is reportedly angling for a leadership challenge backed by angry pro-Brexit MPs like Nadine Dorries, who openly called for Davis to replace May on Thursday.

In an extraordinary interview with The House magazine, pro-Remain MP Tory Johnny Mercer described the government as a "s***how" and said he wouldn't vote Conservative or at all if he wasn't an MP. 

May will today be encouraged by reports that French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Angela Merkel want the EU to be "more flexible" and create a Brexit that deal could be palatable for Brexiteers in London.

However, even if Brussels commits to May's preferred UK-wide customs union backstop in the Brexit deal, there will almost certainly be a backstop keeping Northern Ireland in the single market and customs union.

The UK and EU believe they can reach a deal which includes the Northern Ireland-only backstop but is acceptable for the Democratic Unionist Party. This is just one of many huge risks May will have to take in the coming weeks.

In a press conference on Thursday, the prime minister also appeared to kill Brexiteer hope that the backstop would be time-limited, refusing to deny reports that she privately told Ireland there'd be no fixed end date.

The time-limit issue is a big deal for Brexiteers. They believe failure to include one in the final Withdrawal Agreement risks trapping Britain in a long-term if not permanent customs union with the EU.

Business Insider reported last week that three ministers — Andrea Leadsom, Penny Mordaunt and Esther McVey — are all poised to quit if May doesn't deliver a fix end date for the backstop.

In Brussels, the expectation is if there is a deal, it won't be ready to be signed off until the European Council's December summit, leaving parliaments there and in Westminster just weeks to scrutinise and vote on it.

SEE ALSO: Trump tells May to abandon 'unjustified' food standards for Brexit trade deal

DON'T MISS: Theresa May told to resign after making 'outrageous' offer to extend the Brexit transition period

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Amazon is opening a new office in Manchester as it makes a big bet on research and development in the UK

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  • Amazon announced it's opening a new office in Manchester, UK.
  • The new office, based in the Hanover Building, will accommodate at least 600 staff.
  • Amazon is also expanding its research and development teams in Cambridge and Edinburgh.

Amazon has that it's opening up a new office in Manchester, and investing in 1,000 additional research and development jobs in the UK.

Amazon's new Manchester office will open in 2019 and will be based in the Hanover Building in the city's Northern Quarter. It will be big enough to eventually house 600 staff.

UK manager Doug Gurr said: "Manchester was at the heart of the industrial revolution and has a fantastic history of innovation."

Hanover Building Manchester

"Our new office will be home to over 600 staff, many of whom will be focused on developing exciting new products and services used by Amazon customers around the world

"The city offers an incredibly talented workforce and a budding tech scene with some of the most exciting, fast-growing tech companies in the UK situated here."

Extra staff will also be added in Edinburgh and Cambridge, where specialists work on machine-learning, drones, and the AI assistant Alexa.

Amazon said it has invested more than £9.3 billion ($12.2 billion) in the UK since 2010 and is on course to have 27,500 staff on its books by the end of the year.

Liam Fox, the British secretary of state for International Trade, said: "Amazon’s decision to create hundreds of highly-skilled jobs in Manchester, Edinburgh and Cambridge is an enormous vote of confidence in the UK and a signal to the world that the UK is very much open for business."

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A key indicator of Italy's financial health is flashing red as its EU budget row intensifies

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  • The spread between yields on Italian and German bonds climbed to its highest level in almost five years on Friday.
  • Gap between German 10-year and Italian 10-year now stands at almost 3.4 percentage points.
  • Widening of spread comes as Rome and Brussels clash over Italy's proposed budget, which proposes breaking EU spending rules.

The spread between yields on Italian and German bonds climbed to its highest level in almost five years on Friday as a row between Rome and Brussels over the country's budget threatens to boil over.

European Union authorities on Thursday rejected budget proposals put forward by Italy earlier in the week, accusing the eurozone's third largest economy of an "unprecedented" break of EU rules around spending and deficit limits.

Citing Italy's plans to increase spending and its deficit, and allow its government debt to remain elevated, the European Commission said the country is trying to undertake "a particularly serious" breach of the rules.

"Those three factors would seem to point to a particularly serious non-compliance with the budgetary policy obligations laid down in the Stability and Growth Pact," said a letter to Italian finance minister Giovanni Tria, which surfaced late Thursday.

"Moreover, with Italy's government debt standing at around 130% of GDP, our preliminary assessment also indicates that Italy's plans would not ensure compliance with the debt criterion benchmark," it continued.

The rebuke has heightened tensions between the two parties, with a confrontation looking more and more likely. That potential outcome has spooked investors, pushing the spread between Italian and German 10-year bonds to its highest since 2013, at the tail end of the eurozone debt crisis.

On Friday morning that spread stood at 3.4 percentage points, an increase of close to 50% from levels seen in late September.

The chart below illustrates the extent of the recent increase in the spread:

German Italy bond spread

Germany's government debt is widely seen as being one of the safest investment vehicles on the planet, thanks to the country's staunch commitment to running a budget surplus. Italy, on the other hand, looks less and less stable, pushing bond yields higher.

For context, the budget proposes increasing both Italy's overall government debt and its deficit in the short run, pushing the deficit as high as 2.4% of GDP over the coming years. This means Italy will fall foul of a previously mandated maximum deficit level of 0.8% of GDP.

Italy was asked to amend its budget by eurozone authorities before submitting it, and was told that the proposals represent "significant deviation" from its mandate. It refused to do so, with the Italian parliament voting to approve the proposals on Monday evening.

Matteo Salvini, the leader of the Northern League, one of the two coalition partners in the Italian government, has made clear that the government plans to go ahead with the implementation of its budget proposals, regardless of any opposition from Brussels.

"If Brussels says I cannot do it, I do not care, I will do it anyway," Salvini said last week, referring to the budget's implementation.

Italy has until Monday to respond to the Commission's findings.

SEE ALSO: An inside look at Winton, the $27 billion British hedge fund that's decked out with fossils, statues of Paddington Bear, and a chart-filled room that's basically paradise for finance nerds

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Rushing into a serious relationship may cause it to fail — here are 4 benefits of slowing things down

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  • There were many speedy celebrity engagements over the summer.
  • But rushing into a serious relationship doesn't always work out.
  • Research has shown couples who know each other for at least two years before getting engaged have the happiest marriages.
  • Sometimes, a quick whirlwind romance can work, as some people are just lucky.
  • Here are some of the reasons slowing things down can be beneficial in the long run.

Love lasts, infatuation is fleeting — that's what we're told. But hearing this idiom doesn't make your feelings any less intense when you're head over heels for someone.

At the beginning of a relationship, your hormones are going wild. Oxytocin and serotonin are flying around your body making you feel giddy, happy, and excitable, and every second thought you have is about when you can see that one special person again. So it's not all that surprising that some people ride the love wave and want to rush to the ultimate commitment as soon as possible. 

Hollywood was rife with a string of speedy celebrity engagements over the summer. Justin Bieber and Hailey Baldwin, Ariana Grande and Pete Davidson, and Nick Jonas and Priyanka Chopra were just some of the couples who decided they wanted to get hitched after just a few weeks together.

But for Grande and Davidson, their whirlwind romance wasn't to be, and they reportedly called the wedding off this month. Russell Brand and Katy Perry, Pamela Anderson and Tommy Lee, and Katie Holmes and Tom Cruise are other couples who throughout history seemingly fell in love very quickly, only for their infatuation to fizzle out.

According to Melissa Hobley, the CMO of dating site OkCupid, speedy engagements and whirlwind romances may not work out because couples simply don't know each other well enough. Research has shown how people who have dated for at least two years before getting engaged have happier marriages, so there may not be any substitute for getting to know someone properly.

However, she added that "putting a ring on it quickly" doesn't necessarily mean you'll be unhappy.

"Studies have found that people who dated for a short time (less than 6 months) before getting engaged have a very wide range of martial happiness: some were very happy but others were very unhappy."

There's such a thing as waiting too long, too. Like in the film "The Five-Year Engagement," research has shown that the longer couples were engaged, the worse their marital satisfaction.

"So, rushing into engagement is not a great idea, but once engaged, couples should get their wedding planning started," Hobley said.

It's definitely a case-by-case basis. Sometimes people are lucky and truly do meet someone who's perfect for them, and hurrying to tie the knot isn't a mistake at all. But other times, people may realise soon after the initial buzz of "love at first sight" wears off that they are just too different.

They may also be a victim of circumstance, like with Davidson and Grande, who reportedly thought it wasn't the right time for their relationship to take off. As the saying goes: "If you have chemistry, you only need one other thing. Timing. But timing's a b---h."

Slow and steady(ish) is the winning combination

For those who get carried away at the start, things can accelerate quickly. But slower dating is a better way to get to know someone, according to the work of Sara Konrath, a social psychologist and consultant for OkCupid.

"Just like the slow food movement is a reaction to cheap and unhealthy fast food, the slow dating movement is a reaction to quick and meaningless hookups that can be made easy by dating apps," she said. "It’s based on a desire for people to slow things down, get to know one another without so much pressure, and focus on high quality connection and closeness."

It can be difficult to take outside advice when you're wrapped up in the heat of love. But going all in too quickly may make the breakup all the more painful if it does eventually happen, because you've invested so much.

Here are four reasons slowing things down can help build a long-lasting, healthy relationship.

  1. Research has shown that about a third of couples enter into sexual relationships within a month of dating, and this is associated with lower relationship quality later on compared to those who wait longer before before having sex. They simply have more time to build emotional intimacy, and work out if they really are compatible.

    "The rapid entry into sexual relationships, however, may cut short this process," she said. "Setting the stage for 'sliding' rather than 'deciding' to enter into cohabiting unions, and even leading to unhealthy or dissatisfying marriages."
  2. Waiting longer helps you avoid getting attached to someone without really knowing them — meaning you could bond to someone who is completely wrong for you.

    "Sexual behaviors lead to the release of oxytocin and other bonding hormones, which can make people feel closeness even when it is not a good idea," said Hobley. "Slowing it down allows people to make decisions with their heart and their head."
  3. Emotional intimacy and trust take time, she added, so allowing them to slowly build rather than forcing it means you'll have a more solid foundation to fall back on when the tough times come.
  4. Emotionally unhealthy people, like those with unhealthy attachment styles, are more likely to rush into a relationship. This could be because they've been hurt in the past, they've been through trauma, or even if they are feeling vulnerable after the breakdown of a recent relationship.

    "Happier and secure people feel comfortable taking things slow and enjoying the process," Hobley said.

    So if you feel you're rushing into something because you're scared of being alone, or you don't feel complete without someone by your side, it might be worth working out why that is before you let someone in. Otherwise you may end up getting even more hurt because you haven't truly healed from your past.

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Bill Gates says Paul Allen 'deserved more time in life' in a moving tribute to his Microsoft cofounder

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  • Bill Gates has published a tribute to his Microsoft cofounder Paul Allen in The Wall Street Journal.
  • He reflects on meeting Allen in high school and starting Microsoft together.
  • "Paul deserved more time in life," Gates wrote.

Following the death this week of Microsoft cofounder Paul Allen at the age of 65, Bill Gates has written a moving tribute to business partner and friend in The Wall Street Journal.

Gates said he met Allen when he was in 7th grade and it changed his life forever. He reflects on sneaking off with Allen to tinker with computers. "It sounds geeky, and it was, but it was also a formative experience, and I’m not sure I would have had the courage to do it without Paul," said Gates.

He also remembers the moment that Allen came to him in 1974 and Microsoft was born.

"One day he came and got me, insisting that I rush over to a nearby newsstand with him. When we arrived, he showed me the cover of the January issue of Popular Electronics. It featured a new computer called the Altair 8800, which ran on a powerful new chip. Paul looked at me and said: 'This is happening without us!' That moment marked the end of my college career and the beginning of our new company, Microsoft."

He remembers fondly Allen's ability to explain complex ideas in simple terms, his musical talent, and his generosity.

"His generosity was as wide-ranging as his interests. In our hometown of Seattle, Paul helped fund homeless shelters, brain research, and arts education.

"He also built the amazing Museum of Pop Culture, which houses some of his huge collection of music, science fiction, and movie memorabilia," writes Gates, who is himself a famous philanthropist.

He concluded: "Paul deserved more time in life. He would have made the most of it. I will miss him tremendously."

You can read Bill Gates' full tribute on The Wall Street Journal.

SEE ALSO: Bill Gates says there are 5 'grand challenges' to stopping an apocalyptic future of floods, hurricanes, and drought

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Lena Dunham's feminist newsletter, which ran articles by Jennifer Lawrence and Michelle Obama, is reportedly shutting down

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Lena Dunham

  • Lena Dunham's feminist newsletter Lenny Letter and its website are shutting down, according to multiple reports.
  • The newsletter had interviewed Hillary Clinton. It also ran articles by Jennifer Lawrence and Michelle Obama, as well as covering style, politics, and gender issues.
  • The newsletter had grown to over 500,000 subscribers, but sources said it had struggled to secure ad revenue.

Lenny Letter, Lena Dunham's feminist newsletter which ran articles by Jennifer Lawrence and Michelle Obama, is reportedly shutting down.

Dunham, who founded the newsletter in 2015, intended for it "make the world better for women and the people who love them," according to the email the newsletter sent to new subscribers.

But reports in The New York Post and Digiday said that the newsletter and the website that spun out of it will shut down on Friday. They cited contributors to the newsletter who told them about the reported closure.

Lenny Letter's activity has notably slowed. The last email newsletter was sent on Tuesday.

The site's Twitter account also usually sends hourly tweets, but at time of publication had not posted anything since 4 p.m. Thursday.

The newsletter grew to over 500,000 subscribers, according to Digiday, but its growth on social media had slowed.  Nearly half of subscribers were still opening the emails in July 2017, sources told the New York Post.

Lenny Letter

Sources said that the newsletter had always struggled to gain ad support. It signed a deal with Condé Nast to handle ads for the site in October. Condé Nast did not respond to requests for comment from the Post and Digiday.

Suggestions of the closure began earlier this week when freelance writers were notified by editors that they would receive "kill fees" (compensation for work not being published), the Post reported.

The newsletter is sent by email twice a week and covers topics including feminism, style, politics, health.

"I think our ideal audience is anyone who considers themselves to be a progressive feminist who wants to live an inspired life,"Dunham told Business Insider in 2015.

"Our goal isn't for you to read it at lunch. Our goal is for you to have a relationship with it and talk to your friends about it."

As well as discussions of topics like birth control, anxiety, gender issues, and activism, the newsletter includes interviews with "powerful female figures who get us excited."

Lenny Letter

It published pieces with women like actress Gillian Jacobs, New York Times best-selling novelist Jessica Knoll, and feminist thinker and activist Gloria Steinem.

Jennifer Lawrence wrote for Lenny about the Hollywood gender pay gap, and the newsletter interviewed Hillary Clinton when she was campaigning in the 2016 presidential election.

Dunham, best known as the writer, star, and creator of HBO show "Girls," founded the newsletter with production partner Jenni Konner. It is unclear whether the sites' podcasts — "Women of the Hour" and "Lenny Says"— will continue.

SEE ALSO: Here's why Lena Dunham started 'Lenny,' her newsletter that launched in 2015

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Prince Harry and Meghan Markle ditched royal etiquette to go barefoot on the beach and join an 'anti-bad vibe circle' with surfers

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Prince Harry, Duke of Sussex and Meghan, Duchess of Sussex talk to members of OneWave, an awareness group for mental health and wellbeing at South Bondi Beach on October 19, 2018 in Sydney, Australia. The Duke and Duchess of Sussex are on their official 16-day Autumn tour visiting cities in Australia, Fiji, Tonga and New Zealand. (Photo by Chris Jackson - Pool/Getty Images)

  • Prince Harry and Meghan Markle visited Sydney's Bondi Beach on Friday.
  • The couple are over halfway through their royal tour of Australia.
  • The Duke and Duchess of Sussex took part in an "anti-bad vibe circle" with members of OneWave — a non-profit surf community that raises mental health awareness.
  • Harry has been a vocal supporter of mental health awareness in the past, last year launching the Heads Together campaign with Prince William and Kate Middleton.
  • The Duke and Duchess decided to throw royal etiquette out the window and took off their shoes for the beach session.

Meghan Markle and Prince Harry's royal tour of Australia continues, and they've finally found time to hit the beach.

The pair visited Sydney's famous Bondi Beach on Friday where they met with members of OneWave — a non-profit surf community that raises mental health awareness.

The Duke and Duchess of Sussex participated in an "anti-bad vibe circle" in the sand with group members who congregate on Fridays for Fluro, which refers to the garishly-coloured clothing worn by the group.

OneWave members surf, swim and do yoga during the sessions. "It gets people asking important questions, which are normally avoided about mental health,"the charity's website reads.

Harry has been a vocal supporter of mental health awareness in the past, last year revealing that he struggled to process his emotions following the death of his mother Princess Diana.

The prince also co-launched mental health awareness campaign Heads Together with his brother William and his wife Kate Middleton last year.

Sky News says Harry told the group on the beach in Australia: "Each and every one of us will experience poor mental health, it doesn't discriminate."

The Duke and Duchess decided to throw royal etiquette out the window and took off of their shoes for the beach session. They were also each given a Hawaiian lei to wear.

Prince Harry, Duke of Sussex and Meghan, Duchess of Sussex talk to members of OneWave, an awareness group for mental health and wellbeing at South Bondi Beach on October 19, 2018 in Sydney, Australia. The Duke and Duchess of Sussex are on their official 16-day Autumn tour visiting cities in Australia, Fiji, Tonga and New Zealand. (Photo by Chris Jackson - Pool/Getty Images)

According to The Guardian, OneWave cofounder Grant Trebilco, who suffers from bipolar disorder, said: "The things that really saved me was surfing and the other thing was talking about it. Two of my closest friends started sharing their stories about depression and I never knew.

"It's so hard to reach out for help. What Harry is doing with his Heads Together is amazing, letting people know it's OK to not be OK.

"Australia loves them. They're super passionate about mental health, they are showing that mental health does not discriminate. They're saving lives talking about it."

The Duke and Duchess' trip to Australia coincides with the Invictus Games— the multi-sport event, created by Prince Harry, for wounded, injured, or sick armed services personnel and their associated veterans — which will be held in Sydney from Saturday and will last one week.

The couple are in Australia until next Tuesday when they will jet off to Fiji, Tonga, and New Zealand to round off their first official royal tour as a married couple.

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Twitter is shutting down bot accounts posting pro-Saudi tweets about missing dissident Khashoggi (TWTR)

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jamal khashoggi enter saudi embassy

  • Twitter has suspended hundreds of bot accounts identified by NBC News as being involved in a coordinated campaign to defend the Saudi government's role in the disappearance of Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi.
  • Twitter told Business Insider it had already been aware of the bot accounts, which it said behaved like spam accounts. 
  • Twitter said it could not definitively link the accounts to the Saudi government. 

Twitter is suspending hundreds of bot accounts involved in a coordinated effort to flood the service with political messages about the suspected murder of a prominent Saudi dissident. 

The accounts have unleashed a barrage of messages in recent days that support the Saudi government's account in its role in the disappearance of Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi, according to NBC News which reported  about the situation on Thursday. Twitter began cracking down on the accounts after it was notified, according to NBC News. 

Twitter, however, says it's been aware of such accounts for "some time" and that it was already in the process of shutting them down, a spokesperson told Business Insider on Friday.

Bots are automated accounts that are used by spammers, hackers and other miscreants to launch coordinated social media campaigns and denial of service attacks. They have been credited with spreading misinformation, notoriously during the 2016 presidential election. Ahead of midterm elections in November, Twitter has made an effort to be transparent in steps it's taking to curtail misuse of its platform, especially by foreign agents.   

One of the bot accounts NBC identified (which has since been suspended) posted: "From the very beginning, false statements have tried to link the disappearance or killing of #Jamal_Khashoggi to the kingdom. This is a campaign they are waging against the kingdom."

Twitter told Business Insider that the accounts it had suspended, while "behaving like typical spam accounts," could not be verified as accounts backed by the Saudi government (rather than independently supporting the king).

Twitter's problems with bot accounts is well-known. The platform flags 10 million potential spam accounts every week in an attempt to curb bots, but NBC was able to identify hundreds of accounts that spammed Twitter with identical tweets supporting the Saudi government's position.

The flagged accounts reportedly sent out hundreds of identical tweets in droves that disputed the widely believed notion that Saudi Arabia was involved in the disappearance of Khashoggi, who is feared dead.

SEE ALSO: Facebook is battling a tidal wave of fake news and misinformation on WhatsApp in Brazil

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OnePlus rescheduled its upcoming smartphone event because Apple just recently announced its own event on the same day (AAPL)

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tim cook

  • OnePlus rescheduled its OnePlus 6T smartphone announcement event because Apple recently announced it's hosting an event on the same day. 
  • OnePlus' launch event is now taking place one day earlier, on October 29, at the same venue as originally planned. 
  • The company says it will cover the costs of travel changes and tickets for those who aren't able to make the new date. 

OnePlus was all set to unveil its new OnePlus 6T smartphone on October 30 in New York City, but then Apple decided to steal the spotlight.

The Mac maker this week announced its own Fall event to be held on October 30, and now OnePlus has rescheduled its event as a result.

The OnePlus event is happening just one day earlier, on October 29, at the original location in New York City. OnePlus founder Pete Lau announced the change in a OnePlus community post, and the company also announced the change over Twitter.

In his post, Lau said about the Apple event:

"We know the entire industry and all media will be holding their breath. So, imagine how we felt when we learned the date of their latest event. One minute, we were preparing for our greatest and most exciting launch event yet. The next, we were posed with a difficult question: “What do we do now?” "...

"We have only just begun our journey and cannot afford to let one of the most important products in our history be affected by another great product launch. So after deep reflection, we have decided to move the OnePlus 6T Launch Event in New York City to October 29."

OnePlus 5 Pete Lau

Those who were planning to attend the OnePlus event will have their ticket costs covered by the company if they can't make it at the new date, Lau said, and he welcomes those who can make it to the event a day earlier than planned. And for those who made travel arrangements, Lau said the company would even cover the cost of flight and hotel changes. 

It's an incredibly unfortunate situation for OnePlus, but the company is seemingly dealing with its situation well and communicating with its fans. 

During Apple's October 30 event, we expect to hear about new iPad and Mac news, so it's not the same kind of product as OnePlus' smartphone. Still, all of the tech media's eyes will be on Apple that day, which would have absolutely and completely stolen OnePlus' thunder.

SEE ALSO: OnePlus is having some terrible luck with scheduling the launch of its latest smartphone

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Here's everything we know about the troubling disappearance and death of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi

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Jamal Khashoggi

  • A Saudi journalist is dead, and Turkish authorities believe he was killed in the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul. Saudi officials said on Friday, October 19 that Khashoggi died as a result of an altercation inside the consulate.
  • The journalist, Jamal Khashoggi, 59, who was often critical of the Saudi government, entered the consulate on October 2. He had not been seen publicly since then.
  • Saudi Arabia previously said, without evidence, that Khashoggi left the consulate and rejected assertions that he was killed.
  • US President Donald Trump has shifted from expressing concern about the case to defending Saudi leadership in the two weeks following Khashoggi's disappearance.
  • Last week, Trump said that stopping arms sales to the Saudis as punishment for Khashoggi's disappearance would be a "tough pill to swallow."
  • On Monday, he said Saudi Arabia's King Salman denied any involvement, and the president suggested that "rogue killers" could be responsible. On Tuesday, Trump said criticism of Saudi Arabia was another case of "guilty until proven innocent." And on Wednesday, he said he'd contacted Turkish officials and requested audio and video related to the case, "if it exists."
  • US intelligence may have known before Khashoggi's disappearance about a Saudi plot to capture him, The Washington Post reported last week.
  • On October 11, The Post reported that the Turkish government told US officials it had audio and video recordings suggesting that a team of Saudis "interrogated, tortured, and then murdered" Khashoggi.
  • CNN reported on Monday that Saudi Arabia was preparing to release a report saying Khashoggi was killed as part of a botched interrogation.
  • The Associated Press on Tuesday quoted a high-level Turkish official as saying police who entered the consulate found "certain evidence" that Khashoggi was killed there.
  • The Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday that Turkish officials shared with the US and Saudi Arabia details of an audio recording said to illustrate that Khashoggi was beaten, drugged, and ultimately killed in the Saudi consul general's office minutes after entering the consulate.
  • A bipartisan group of senators has invoked a law requiring Trump to investigate Khashoggi's disappearance.
  • US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo went to Saudi Arabia on Tuesday to discuss the case with the Saudis, who he said pledged to conduct "a thorough, transparent, and timely investigation."
  • The US received a $100 million payment from Saudi Arabia on Tuesday, the same day Pompeo arrived in Riyadh to discuss Khashoggi's disappearance. The State Department said there was no connection.
  • Pompeo on Thursday said he told Trump the US should give the Saudis "a few more days" to complete an investigation.
  • When asked by reporters on Thursday whether he believes Khashoggi is dead, Trump said, "It certainly looks that way to me," adding that there would be "very severe" consequences if investigations into Khashoggi's disappearance conclude the Saudis are responsible.
  • Late Thursday, ABC News cited a senior Turkish official as saying the Turkish government let Pompeo listen to audio and view a transcript offering evidence that Khashoggi was killed. Pompeo promptly denied ever hearing or seeing such a recording, and Ankara's top diplomat subsequently denied supplying any audio to the secretary of state.
  • A Turkish official said on Friday that investigators were looking into the possibility that Khashoggi's remains were taken to a nearby forest or to another city in the country.

A Saudi journalist is dead, and Turkish authorities believe he was killed inside the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul. 

The Saudi government acknowledged on Friday evening that Jamal Khashoggi died during an altercation inside the consulate. The revelation came after the Saudis gave conflicting accounts about the case during the nearly three weeks in which Khashoggi's disappearance remained a mystery.

The 59-year-old journalist entered the consulate on October 2 to obtain documents necessary to marry his Turkish fiancée, Hatice Cengiz.

Cengiz has said she waited for Khashoggi outside the consulate for roughly 11 hours but he never came out. She tweeted on Saturday: "Jamal is not dead. I cannot believe that he has been killed."

Here's a timeline of the events surrounding Khashoggi's disappearance and death.

Who is Jamal Khashoggi?

Khashoggi, a prominent journalist who was often critical of the Saudi government and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, wrote for The Washington Post's global opinion section.

Karen Attiah, Khashoggi's editor at The Post, told CNN on October 7: "We're still hoping for the best, but of course this news, if true, has us all completely devastated. This is an attack on us as well at The Washington Post."

Khashoggi has had a long, complicated career.

He went from interviewing a young Osama bin Laden in the 1980s to becoming one of the top journalists in his country to living in self-imposed exile.

Khashoggi was at one point an adviser to senior officials in the Saudi government and worked for top news outlets in the country. He was long seen as close to the ruling elite there.

But last year, Khashoggi had a falling out with the government over Prince Mohammed's controversial tactics as he's worked to consolidate his power, including arresting powerful business executives and members of the royal family.

The Saudi royal family also banned Khashoggi from writing after he was critical of President Donald Trump, and it drove Khashoggi to leave Saudi Arabia for the US in the summer of 2017.

In recent months, Khashoggi reportedly told colleagues that he had feared for his life.

After leaving Saudi Arabia, Khashoggi divided his time between London, Istanbul, and Virginia. He's a US resident with a green card, but he is not a citizen.

The Post on Wednesday published an op-ed article Khashoggi filed shortly before his disappearance.

In it, Khashoggi called for a free press in the Arab world. Attiah, who edited the article, wrote a note at the top.

"I received this column from Jamal Khashoggi's translator and assistant the day after Jamal was reported missing in Istanbul," Attiah said. "The Post held off publishing it because we hoped Jamal would come back to us so that he and I could edit it together. Now I have to accept: That is not going to happen. This is the last piece of his I will edit for The Post."

She added that Khashoggi's article "perfectly captures his commitment and passion for freedom in the Arab world."

What Saudi Arabia has said about Khashoggi's disappearance

Saudi officials previously claimed Khashoggi left the consulate.

"Mr. Khashoggi visited the consulate to request paperwork related to his marital status and exited shortly thereafter,"an unnamed Saudi official told The New York Times earlier this month.

The Saudi government previously denied allegations that Khashoggi was killed, describing them as "baseless."

Prince Mohammed earlier this month told Bloomberg News that Turkish authorities were welcome to search the consulate. "We have nothing to hide," he said.

"He's a Saudi citizen, and we are very keen to know what happened to him," he added. "And we will continue our dialogue with the Turkish government to see what happened to Jamal there."

When asked whether there were any charges against Khashoggi in Saudi Arabia, Prince Mohammed said, "Actually, we need to know where Jamal is first."

The Saudi ambassador to the US told The Post on October 8 that it would be "impossible" for consulate employees to kill Khashoggi and cover up his death "and we wouldn't know about it."

The Saudi-owned Al Arabiya TV network on October 11 aired a report claiming that 15 men said to be involved in Khashoggi's disappearance weren't sent to Istanbul for the purpose of capturing or killing him but were just tourists.

Turkish media has reported that the men arrived at Istanbul's airport on October 2, the day Khashoggi went missing, and left Turkey later that night.

Days before it officially announced Khashoggi's death, Saudi Arabia said it would release a report claiming he was killed

Before it acknowledged on Friday that Khashoggi had indeed died, Saudi Arabia said it was preparing to release a report claiming Khashoggi was killed as part of a botched interrogation, CNN reported on Monday, citing two sources who said the interrogation was supposed to result in Khashoggi's abduction from Turkey.

The Saudi government's statement released Friday makes no mention of Khashoggi having been killed.

One source told CNN that the report was likely to say the operation was conducted without clearance or transparency and vow to hold those involved accountable. According to the Saudi government's explanation released Friday night, 18 Saudi officials were detained in connection with Khashoggi's death.

A Daily Beast report on Tuesday suggested that the Saudis planned to scapegoat an unnamed two-star general and claim that he botched a plan to interrogate Khashoggi and accidentally killed him.

The Times published a related report on Thursday that said the Saudis planned to blame a general with ties to Prince Mohammed. The Times identified the general as Ahmed al-Assiri, who was promoted to intelligence by the crown prince late last year after having worked as the spokesman for the Saudi-led coalition in Yemen.

What Turkey has said about Khashoggi's disappearance

Turkish officials have accused the Saudis of killing Khashoggi, saying there's no evidence he ever left the consulate.

A high-level Turkish official told The Associated Press on Tuesday that police who entered the consulate found "certain evidence" that Khashoggi was killed there.

Turkey has been putting a great deal of pressure on Saudi Arabia to be more transparent.

On October 8, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan demanded Saudi officials provide proof that Khashoggi left the consulate.

"Do you not have cameras and everything of the sort?" Erdogan said. "They have all of them. Then why do you not prove this? You need to prove it."

Throughout the investigation, there have been somewhat conflicting messages from Turkey on Khashoggi's disappearance as details of what might have happened to him have been gradually leaked to media outlets.

In a report on October 9, The Times described a senior official as saying Turkey had concluded Khashoggi was killed "on orders from the highest levels" of the Saudi royal court.

But Yasin Aktay, an adviser to Erdogan, said on October 10 that "the Saudi state is not blamed here," suggesting that "a deep state" was responsible for Khashoggi's disappearance.

On October 11, Erdogan increased pressure on Saudi Arabia over Khashoggi's disappearance.

"We cannot remain silent to such an incident," Erdogan was quoted by Turkish media as telling reporters, according to The Post.

"How is it possible for a consulate, an embassy not to have security camera systems? Is it possible for the Saudi Arabian consulate where the incident occurred not to have camera systems?" he continued.

"If a bird flew, if a mosquito appeared, these systems would catch them," he said, adding that he believed that the Saudis "would have the most advanced of systems."

What we know about the investigation into Khashoggi's disappearance and death

There appears to be video footage of Khashoggi entering the consulate, but no footage of him leaving has been made public. Turkish officials have said that some footage from the consulate mysteriously disappeared.

Local police were examining video footage from security cameras in the area, and on Monday police entered the consulate to investigate for the first time. Erdogan said on Tuesday that investigators found some surfaces that had been newly painted over.

Turkish officials allege that the Saudi government sent a 15-man team to Istanbul via private jets to kill Khashoggi at the consulate. The AP described Turkish media as saying the team included "Saudi royal guards, intelligence officers, soldiers, and an autopsy expert."

Turkish media published what it claimed were videos of Saudi intelligence officers entering and leaving Turkey via Istanbul's airport.

Citing an unnamed US official, The Post reported on October 7 that Turkish investigators believed Khashoggi was killed and his body most likely dismembered, placed in boxes, and flown out of the country. But some reports also suggest Khashoggi's body may have been dissolved with acid.

The senior official who spoke to The Times said Turkish officials believed the team used a bone saw to dismember his body.

The Guardian reported last week that officials were looking for a black van with diplomatic number plates that was seen departing the consulate roughly two hours after Khashoggi went in. They also believe Khashoggi's Apple Watch could provide clues about what happened to him, though experts have cast doubt on that claim.

A Post report published on October 11 described several unnamed Turkish and US officials as saying the Turkish government told US officials it had audio and video recordings suggesting that a team of Saudis killed Khashoggi.

The newspaper quoted one official as saying the audio recording indicated that Khashoggi was "interrogated, tortured, and then murdered," adding that both Khashoggi's voice and the voices of men speaking Arabic could be heard on the recording.

The recording "lays out what happened to Jamal after he entered," The Post's source said.

The Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday that Turkish officials shared with the US and Saudi Arabia details of an audio recording said to illustrate how Khashoggi was beaten, drugged, and ultimately killed in the Saudi consul general's office minutes after entering the consulate.

The Journal described people familiar with the matter as saying the recording included a voice that could be heard urging the consul to leave the room, as well as a voice of a person Turkish officials identified as a forensic specialist urging people nearby to listen to music as he dismembered the body.

In a Times report on Wednesday, a senior Turkish official described audio recordings suggesting that Khashoggi's fingers were cut off shortly after he arrived at the consul and that he was eventually beheaded.

A Turkish official on Friday said investigators were looking into the possibility that Khashoggi's remains were taken to a nearby forest or to another city in the country.

What Trump and the White House have said about the Khashoggi case

White House Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders issued a statement on Friday after the Saudi government announced Khashoggi's death:

The United States acknowledges the announcement from the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia that its investigation into the fate of Jamal Khashoggi is progressing and that it has taken action against the suspects it has identified thus far.

We will continue to closely follow the international investigations into this tragic incident and advocate for justice that is timely, transparent, and in accordance with all due process. We are saddened to hear confirmation of Mr. Khashoggi's death, and we offer our deepest condolences to his family, fiancée, and friends.

US President Donald Trump initially expressed concern about the Khashoggi case, but he has shifted to defending Saudi leaders while exhibiting a reluctance to punish them.

On October 8, he told reporters that he was "concerned about" Khashoggi's disappearance.

"I don't like hearing about it. Hopefully that will sort itself out,"Trump said. "Right now nobody knows anything about it, but there's some pretty bad stories going around. I do not like it."

During an interview with "Fox & Friends" on October 11, Trump said that "we're probably getting closer than you might think" to finding out what happened to Khashoggi.

"We have investigators over there, and we're working with Turkey, and frankly we're working with Saudi Arabia," Trump said. "We want to find out what happened. He went in, and it doesn't look like he came out. It certainly doesn't look like he's around."

There is reason to doubt the president's claim that the US has investigators in Turkey. FBI guidelines say it can investigate in other countries only if they request assistance. Foreign Policy reported on October 11 that it seemed Turkey had so far not done that.

Trump added in the interview that US-Saudi relations were "excellent."

In an interview with Fox News on October 10, the president seemed reluctant to guarantee repercussions against the Saudis — especially in terms of US arms sales to the country — if it turned out that they harmed Khashoggi.

"I think that would be hurting us," he said of stopping arms sales to Saudi Arabia. "We have jobs. We have a lot of things happening in this country ... Part of that is what we're doing with our defense systems, and everybody is wanting them, and frankly I think that that would be a very, very tough pill to swallow for our country."

During the interview, Trump said that it was "looking a little bit like" Saudi Arabia was responsible for Khashoggi's disappearance but that "we're going to have to see."

In a "60 Minutes" interview that aired Sunday, Trump said that "we would be very upset and angry" if it turned out the Saudis were involved in Khashoggi's disappearance, adding that the Saudis "deny it every way you can imagine."

The president also reiterated concerns about the economic impact of reducing arms sales to the Saudis.

"I tell you what I don't want to do: Boeing, Lockheed, Raytheon ... I don't want to hurt jobs. I don't want to lose an order like that," he said. "There are other ways of punishing, to use a word that's a pretty harsh word, but it's true."

Trump on Wednesday said he'd contacted Turkish officials and requested audio and video related to the case, "if it exists."

"I'm not sure yet that it exists," Trump said. "Probably does. Possibly does."

When asked whether he had sent the FBI to investigate, Trump said, "Why would I tell you?"

Trump also stressed the fact that Khashoggi was not a US citizen as he boasted about billions of dollars in planned US arms sales to the Saudis.

When asked by reporters on Thursday whether he believes Khashoggi is dead, Trump said, "It certainly looks that way to me."

The president also said there would be "very severe" consequences if investigations into Khashoggi's disappearance conclude the Saudis are responsible.

"We're waiting for the results of about — there are three different investigations, and we should be able to get to the bottom fairly soon," Trump said at the time, adding that he plans to make a "very strong statement" once they've concluded.

Vice President Mike Pence also tweeted about the case last week.

"Deeply troubled to hear reports about Saudi Arabian journalist Jamal Khashoggi. If true, this is a tragic day," he said. "Violence against journalists across the globe is a threat to freedom of the press & human rights. The free world deserves answers."

Khashoggi's fiancée has called on Trump to do more

Cengiz urged Trump in an op-ed article for The Post, published on October 9, to "shed light" on his disappearance.

"At this time, I implore President Trump and first lady Melania Trump to help shed light on Jamal's disappearance," Cengiz wrote.

She added that she and Khashoggi "were in the middle of making wedding plans, life plans," when he disappeared.

On October 10, Trump said that he had spoken with the Saudi government about Khashoggi and that he was working closely with the Turkish government to get to the bottom of what happened. He would not say whether he believed the Saudis were responsible for the journalist's disappearance.

The president also said he invited Cengiz to the White House.

Cengiz wrote in an op-ed article for The Times published on October 13: "In recent days, I saw reports about President Trump wanting to invite me to the White House. If he makes a genuine contribution to the efforts to reveal what happened inside the Saudi consulate in Istanbul that day, I will consider accepting his invitation."

The Trump administration has had a close relationship with the Saudis, and US-Turkey relations have been strained in recent months over the imprisonment of an American pastor, though he was released on October 12.

Trump suggested 'rogue killers' could be behind Khashoggi's disappearance

After a phone call with Saudi Arabia's King Salman, Trump on Monday suggested, without evidence, that "rogue killers" could be behind Khashoggi's disappearance.

Trump said the king flatly denied any involvement.

"It sounded to me like maybe these could be rogue killers," Trump said. "Who knows?"

On Tuesday, Trump escalated his defense of the Saudis, suggesting in an interview with the AP that the criticism leveled against the government was another instance of "guilty until proven innocent."

"Here we go again with, you know, you're guilty until proven innocent," he said. "I don't like that. We just went through that with Justice Kavanaugh, and he was innocent all the way as far as I'm concerned."

In an interview with Fox Business that aired Tuesday evening, Trump said it "would be bad" if it turned out that the Saudis were behind Khashoggi's disappearance, but he emphasized the US-Saudi relationship.

"Saudi Arabia's our partner, our ally against Iran," Trump said. "They've been a great ally to me."

Pompeo went to Saudi Arabia to discuss the case with the king

US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo landed in Riyadh on Tuesday morning to discuss the Khashoggi case with King Salman.

A State Department spokeswoman, Heather Nauert, told The Times that Pompeo"thanked the king for his commitment to supporting a thorough, transparent, and timely investigation of Jamal Khashoggi's disappearance."

Mike Pompeo

Later in the day, Pompeo met with Prince Mohammed for roughly 35 to 40 minutes.

"We are strong and old allies," the crown prince told reporters as he met with Pompeo. "We face our challenges together."

After his meetings, Pompeo said the Saudi leadership "strongly denied any knowledge of what took place in their consulate in Istanbul."

"We had direct and candid conversations," Pompeo said. "I emphasized the importance of conducting a thorough, transparent, and timely investigation, and the Saudi leadership pledged to deliver precisely on that."

The secretary of state said he believed there was a "serious commitment to determine all the facts and ensure accountability, including accountability for Saudi Arabia's senior leaders or senior officials."

Pompeo added: "We're going to give them the space to complete the investigation of this incident."

The US received a $100 million payment from Saudi Arabia on Tuesday. The timing of the payment raises questions, but the State Department said it had no connection to Pompeo's visit.

After returning to the US, Pompeo said on Thursday that he told Trump the US "ought to give" the Saudis "a few more days" to complete an investigation before deciding "how or if the United States should respond to the incident surrounding Mr. Khashoggi."

"There are lots of stories out there about what has happened," Pompeo said at the White House. "We are going to allow the process to move forward."

Late Thursday, ABC News cited a senior Turkish official as saying the Turks let Pompeo listen to audio and view a transcript offering evidence that Khashoggi was killed. Pompeo promptly denied ever hearing or seeing such a recording, and Ankara's top diplomat subsequently denied supplying any audio to the secretary of state.

The US intelligence community reportedly knew about a Saudi plot to capture Khashoggi

A Post report on October 10 said US intelligence intercepts showed that Prince Mohammed sought to lure Khashoggi back to Saudi Arabia and detain him there.

The newspaper said the intercepts of Saudi officials discussing the plan were described by US officials familiar with the intelligence.

Under a directive signed in 2015, the US intelligence community has a "duty to warn" people — including those who are not US citizens — who it believes are at risk of being kidnapped, seriously hurt, or killed. This directive has become a central aspect of the conversation about the US's response to Khashoggi's disappearance.

The White House and the State Department did not immediately respond to requests for comment from Business Insider. A representative for the National Security Council declined to comment.

But a State Department spokesman, Robert Palladino, told reporters that the US government did not have prior knowledge of a Saudi plot to capture or harm Khashoggi.

"Although I cannot comment on intelligence matters, I can say definitively the United States had no advanced knowledge of Jamal Khashoggi's disappearance," he said.

Trump is under mounting pressure to address the situation more forcefully

Senators on both sides of the aisle earlier expressed serious concerns about Khashoggi's disappearance. Those who commented on Friday about the Saudi government's announcement of Khashoggi's death expressed doubt about the official Saudi explanation.

Democratic Sen. Richard Blumenthal said he believes the Saudis are "buying time and buying cover."

Rep. Adam Schiff of California, who is also the ranking member of the House Intelligence Committee, said: "The announcement that Jamal Khashoggi was killed while brawling with a team of more than a dozen dispatched from Saudi Arabia is not credible. If Khashoggi was fighting inside the Saudi consulate in Istanbul, he was fighting for his life with people sent to capture or kill him."

Schiff continued: "The Kingdom and all involved in this brutal murder must be held accountable, and if the Trump Administration will not take the lead, Congress must."

Nearly two dozen senators sent a letter to Trump on October 10 invoking the Global Magnitsky Human Rights Accountability Act of 2016.

The letter — written by Sens. Bob Corker, the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, and Bob Menendez, its ranking Democrat — gave the White House 120 days to "determine whether a foreign person is responsible for an extrajudicial killing, torture, or other gross violation of internationally recognized human rights against an individual exercising freedom of expression."

At the end of 120 days, the letter said, Trump is to report back to the committee on the investigation's findings and how his administration plans to respond.

"We request that you make a determination on the imposition of sanctions pursuant to the Global Magnitsky Human Rights Accountability Act with respect to any foreign person responsible for such a violation related to Mr. Khashoggi," the senators wrote. "Our expectation is that in making your determination you will consider any relevant information, including with respect to the highest ranking officials in the Government of Saudi Arabia."

The letter paves the way for sanctions to be imposed on Saudi Arabia and puts pressure on Trump to investigate Khashoggi's disappearance.

Speaking with reporters about the letter, Corker said, "It's the forcing mechanism to ensure that we use all the resources available to get the bottom of this, and if in fact at the very highest levels of Saudi Arabia they have been involved in doing this, that appropriate steps will be taken to sanction them."

Meanwhile, Sen. Lindsey Graham, a top Senate Republican, called for the crown prince to step away from the world stage, describing him as "toxic" in an appearance on "Fox & Friends" last Thursday morning.

Other Republican senators, including Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, and Ben Sasse, have also been deeply critical of Saudi Arabia and the US's relationship with it in the wake of Khashoggi's appearance.

"It's time to rethink America's relationship with the Saudi Kingdom,"Paul wrote in an op-ed article for Fox News.

"We can start by cutting the Saudis off," he added. "We should not send one more dime, one more soldier, one more adviser, or one more arms deal to the kingdom."

The UN is calling for an investigation by Saudi Arabia into the Khashoggi case

Meanwhile, UN experts have called for an independent and international investigation into the case.

"We are concerned that the disappearance of Mr. Khashoggi is directly linked to his criticism of Saudi policies in recent years,"they said in a statement on October 9. "We reiterate our repeated calls on the Saudi authorities to open the space for the exercise of fundamental rights, including the right to life and of expression and dissent."

SEE ALSO: The meteoric rise of Saudi's powerful Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, who is now suspected of ordering the assassination of journalist Jamal Khashoggi

READ MORE: Jamal Khashoggi's disappearance is an 'embarrassing' 'crisis' for Trump and 'one of the roughest foreign-policy challenges' he's faced yet, experts say

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A tuition-free college education could soon become a reality for some residents in Virginia

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University of Virginia students

  • The University of Virginia's new president, Jim Ryan, announced during his inaugural ceremony that some in-state students will be able to attend the school tuition-free.
  • The provision would apply to students whose families earn less than $80,000 annually. Students whose families earn less than $30,000 will also be eligible for free room and board, Ryan said.
  • Ryan did not offer a specific timetable for when this policy would take effect, saying "there is more work to be done."

The University of Virginia's new president, Jim Ryan, announced during his inaugural ceremony that some in-state students will be able to attend the school tuition-free.

The provision would apply to students whose families earn less than $80,000 annually. Students whose families earn less than $30,000 will also be eligible for free room and board, Ryan said.

"I see a community that opens wide the door to opportunity for first-generation, low- and middle-income students," Ryan said. "There is more work to be done in this space, but we might as well get started."

University of Virginia says it currently meets 100% of its accepted students' demonstrated financial needs with loans, grants, scholarships, and work-study programs.

The announcement follows years of consternation about the rising cost of higher education, which has contributed to the more than $1 trillion in outstanding student loans in the US.

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The $1 billion Mega Millions jackpot was just drawn — here are the winning numbers

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cash

The $1 billion Mega Millions jackpot was just drawn — here are the winning numbers:

15-23-53-65-70

Mega-ball: 7

Shortly after the numbers were drawn, the California State Lottery website crashed.

"Due to the high MEGA Millions jackpot, we anticipate increased website traffic that could slow response times," the website said in an alert. "We apologize for any inconvenience."

The odds of winning the record-breaking $1 billion jackpot were one in 302.5 million, or 0.00000033%. Five numbers between 1 to 70 were selected, in addition to one number between 1 to 25.

The lucky winner would have the option to cash out over $513 million, or choose to be paid annually for 29 years (with a better tax rate).

SEE ALSO: Here are answers to all of the questions you might have if you win the Mega Millions jackpot

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Trump says 'we have a tremendous order' with Saudi Arabia, doesn't want to cancel defense contracts 'as retribution' for Jamal Khashoggi's death

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Donald Trump

  • Saudi Arabia admitted that missing Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi died inside the Saudi Consulate after an encounter with Saudi operatives there "led to a quarrel and a physical confrontation."
  • President Donald Trump said he approves of Saudi Arabia's acknowledgement and called it "a great first step." An official statement from White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders echoed the same while offering condolences to Khashoggi's family.
  • Trump claimed that US jobs that could be created as a result of defense contracts with Saudi Arabia would be threatened if he took action against the Kingdom. Trump has earned some rebuke for appearing to give deference to the Saudis.

President Donald Trump said Friday that he approves of Saudi Arabia's acknowledgement that the Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi died inside the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul, Turkey.

Trump called it "a great first step," while speaking at a roundtable discussion with defense industry executives at Luke Air Force Base. An official statement from White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders echoed the same while offering condolences to Khashoggi's family.

On Friday, Saudi Arabia admitted that Khashoggi, a Saudi national who was had been living in Virginia as a legal US resident with a green card, was killed after an encounter with Saudi agents at the consulate "led to a quarrel and a physical confrontation." That admission on Friday followed nearly three weeks of conflicting statements from the Kingdom and from Turkish officials.

Khashoggi was an outspoken critic of his country and the crown prince, and reportedly feared for his safety before his disappearance on October 2.

Other Saudi media reports suggested Khashoggi was interrogated and eventually died in a chokehold as a result of a physical struggle. Turkish authorities long suspected the Kingdom had orchestrated the killing, citing recovered audio recordings.

jamal khashoggi

Despite Saudi Arabia's admission, Trump stopped short of calling for swift action against the country.

Sitting among a group of leaders from the defense industry, Trump said he was hesitant to nix US defense contracts with Saudi Arabia. The kingdom has spent almost $90 billion on arms since 1950 and has been a top buyer of US defense contracts.

"We have a tremendous order," Trump said.

Turning to the executives around the table, Trump added, "I don't want to tell them 'By the way, we're going to take $25 billion worth of sales away from you.' Because that would mean a lot of jobs, it would mean a lot of everything."

"I would prefer if there was going to be some form of sanction," Trump said, adding that "we don't use as retribution, canceling $110 billion worth of work, which means 600,000 jobs. I know it sounds easy and it sounds good."

Trump has continued to lay claim to $110 billion worth of defense trade deals with Saudi Arabia, without noting they have been merely "memorandums of intent" to fill that amount in the next 10 years.

"I went there to get that order," Trump said, referring to his first foreign trip as president to Saudi Arabia. "Saudi Arabia was my first stop and everyone thought that was unusual but I said 'I want to order tremendous amounts of stuff.'"

Donald Trump Saudi Arabia

The White House described Khashoggi's death as a "tragic incident" and said it would "continue to closely follow the international investigations."

"We are saddened to hear confirmation of Mr. Khashoggi's death, and we offer our deepest condolences to his family, fiancée, and friends," White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders said in a statement.

Trump, who has been under scrutiny for his financial ties to the kingdom, said on Thursday that there would be "very severe" consequences if Saudi Arabia was discovered to be responsible.

SEE ALSO: Saudi officials reportedly confirm Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi is dead

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How automakers can compete in the future of mobility

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Mobility Market

This is a preview of a research report from Business Insider Intelligence, Business Insider's premium research service. To learn more about Business Insider Intelligence, click here.

Automakers are on the verge of a prolonged period of rapid change to the way they do business, thanks to the combined disruptive forces of growing on-demand mobility services and self-driving cars, which will start to come to market in the next couple of years.

By the end of 2019, Google spinoff Waymo, Uber, and GM all plan to have fleets of autonomous cars deployed in various US cities to provide on-demand rides for passengers. By eliminating the cost of the driver, these rides are expected to be far cheaper than typical Uber or Lyft rides, and even cheaper than owning a car for personal transportation.

Many industry experts are predicting that such cheap on-demand autonomous rides service will result in a long-term decline in car ownership rates — PwC predicts that the total number of cars on the road in the US and EU will drop from 556 million last year to 416 million in 2030.

This decline in car ownership represents an enormous threat to automakers’ traditional business models, forcing them to find alternative revenue sources. Many of these automakers, including GM, Ford, and Daimler, have plans to launch their own on-demand ride-hailing services with fleets of self-driving cars they will manufacture, potentially giving them a new stream of recurring revenue. This could set them up to take a sizeable share of a market that is expected to be worth trillions by 2030.

However, competing in the on-demand mobility market will pit legacy automakers against ride-hailing services from startups and tech giants that have far greater experience in acquiring and engaging consumers through digital channels. To succeed in what will likely be a hyper-competitive market for urban ride-hailing, automakers will have to foster new skill sets in their organizations, and transform from companies that primarily produce vehicles to ones that also manage vehicle fleets and customer relationships.

That will entail competing with startups and tech giants for software development and data science talent, as well as reforming innovation processes to keep pace with digital trendsetters. Automakers will also need to create unique mobile app and in-car experiences to lure customers. Finally, these automakers will face many overall barriers in the market, including convincing consumers that self-driving cars are safe, and dealing with a complex and evolving regulatory landscape.

In a new report, Business Insider Intelligence, Business Insider's premium research service, delves into the future of the on-demand mobility space, focusing on how automakers will use fleets of self-driving vehicles to break into an emerging industry that's been dominated thus far by startups like Uber and Lyft. We examine how the advent of autonomous vehicles will reshape urban transportation, and the impact it will have on traditional automakers. We then detail how automakers can leverage their core strengths to create new revenue sources with autonomous mobility services, and explore the key areas they'll need to gain new skills and capabilities in to compete with mobility startups and tech giants that are also eyeing this opportunity. 

Here are some of the key takeaways:

  • The low cost of autonomous taxis will eventually lead car ownership rates among urban consumers to decline sharply, putting automakers’ traditional business models at risk.
  • Many automakers plan to launch their own autonomous ride-hailing services with the self-driving cars they're developing to replace losses from declining car sales, putting them in direct competition with mobility startups and tech giants looking to launch similar services.
  • Additionally, automakers plan to maximize utilization of their autonomous on-demand vehicles by performing last-mile deliveries, which will force them to compete with a variety of players in the parcel logistics industry.
  • Regulatory pressures could also push automakers to consider alternative mobility services besides on-demand taxis, such as autonomous on-demand shuttle or bus services.
  • Providing these types of services will force automakers to make drastic changes to their organizations to acquire new talent and skills, and not all automakers will succeed at that.

In full, the report:

  • Forecasts the growth of autonomous on-demand ride-hailing services in the US.
  • Examines the cost benefits of such services for consumers, and how they will reshape consumers’ transportation habits.
  • Details the different avenues for automakers to monetize the growth of autonomous ride-hailing.
  • Provides an overview of the various challenges that all players in the self-driving car space will need to overcome to monetize their investments in these new technologies in the coming years.
  • Explains the key factors that will be critical for automakers to succeed in this emerging market.
  • Offers examples of how automakers can differentiate their apps and services from competitors’.

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Texas newspaper that endorsed Ted Cruz in 2012 is now throwing its support behind Democrat Beto O'Rourke for the midterm election

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Beto O'Rourke and Ted Cruz

  • The Houston Chronicle has endorsed Democrat Beto O'Rourke for US Senate in Texas over the Republican incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz.
  • The newspaper endorsed Cruz in 2012, but this time around, it had some harsh words for the junior senator, saying Cruz has "exhibited little interest in addressing the needs of his fellow Texans during his six years in office."
  • The closely watched race between O'Rourke and Cruz has helped to boost O'Rourke, who raised more than $38 million in the third quarter. However, his chances of becoming Texas' first elected Democratic senator since 1993 are long.

The Houston Chronicle has endorsed Democrat Beto O'Rourke for US Senate in Texas over the Republican incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz.

The newspaper endorsed Cruz in 2012, but this time around, if had some harsh words for the junior senator, saying Cruz has "exhibited little interest in addressing the needs of his fellow Texans during his six years in office."

"He's been running for president since he took the oath of office — more likely since he picked up his class schedule as a 15-year-old ninth-grader at Houston's Second Baptist High School more than three decades ago," the newspaper's editorial board wrote.

The closely watched race between O'Rourke and Cruz has helped to boost O'Rourke, who raised more than $38 million in the third quarter from more than 800,000 donors. However, his chances of becoming Texas' first elected Democratic senator since 1993 are long.

Voters in Texas and throughout the US will head to the polls on November 6.

The Houston Chronicle's editorial board, which endorsed Cruz for the Senate in 2012, said they didn't feel Cruz acted in the interest of his fellow Texans during his time in office.

"For Cruz, public office is a private quest; the needs of his constituents are secondary," the editorial board wrote, citing Cruz's decision to vote against a bill that would have provided billions of dollars in funds for hurricane relief.

Texans, particularly in Houston, are still recovering from the immense damages from Hurricane Harvey, which devastated the region in August 2017.

Despite O'Rourke's campaign drawing tremendous national attention and enthusiasm among liberal voters, the Houston Chronicle acknowledged that it might not be enough to push O'Rourke over the top in November. A CNN/SSRS poll released on Tuesday showed Cruz holding a seven-point lead over O'Rourke among likely voters.

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Disney faces major hurdles as it takes on Netflix, and needs to figure out Hulu fast

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infinity war

  • Barclays analysts think Disney has the assets to deliver a successful streaming service, but it's not a guarantee.
  • The analysts see a number of potential hurdles Disney could face as it launches the service next year that could be issues for investors.
  • Along with the new service, Disney will also be involved with ESPN+ and Hulu, which analysts see as "reductive" until Disney figures out pricing and bundling strategies. 
  • Analysts also see Disney's licensing agreements as a possible problem, as the new service will likely not have Disney's full library of content at launch, particularly old "Star Wars" movies.
  • On top of all of this, Disney will be launching its service during a "complex integration" after the Disney-Fox deal closes.

 

Disney is expected to roll out its own streaming service late next year to compete, primarily, with Netflix. With so much content at its disposal — Marvel, Star Wars, Pixar, and Fox properties — it's bound to be a popular service.

But in a new report distributed Friday, Barclays analysts said those assets don't guarantee a home run.

When Disney launches its streaming service, it will likely be one of three video services Disney is involved with, along with ESPN+ and Hulu. Both Fox and Disney own 30% of Hulu, which means Disney will double its stake in the service once its merger with Fox is complete.

Barclays sees these offerings as "reductive."

"In our opinion, Disney’s approach to OTT in the form of three separate services is reductive and is akin to launching networks for different demographics on television which is now essentially being replicated on the internet," the analysts said. "This is likely to limit its market opportunity and increase its operating and capital costs over time relative to a simplified one service approach (at least for non-sports content)."

The analysts said that Disney will need to clarify its bundling and pricing strategy in the near future for investors, as well as its plans to acquire the 40% of Hulu it will still not own once the Disney-Fox deal is complete.

READ MORE:Morgan Stanley predicted how Disney's Netflix competitor will fare in the streaming wars — and said it could be a $6 billion business

During an earnings call in August, Disney CEO Bob Iger said that "a number of products" will be affected by licensing agreements, particularly "Star Wars," which means that the streaming service will not have Disney's full library of content at launch.

According to an August Bloomberg report, Disney had been trying to buy back the rights to old "Star Wars" movies, but receiving pushback from Turner Broadcasting.

Barclays analysts see that as a risk, and said that Disney will have to work through licensing agreements "in order to have enough critical mass of content." They also said that Disney needs to figure out global distribution, "neither of which are trivial challenges."

But not even a bulk of successful content guarantees success for the service, according to analysts. 

"Success in OTT is more about: (a) content aggregation rather than segmentation, which is Disney’s go to market strategy at present (b) technology skills (such as discovery and recommendation) and data rather than content and (c) experience," analysts said.

They added that legacy media organizations were more oriented to selling wholesale (to pay-TV distributors) rather than retail (to customers directly). "These differences need a big shift in cultural and organization orientation (especially reporting lines), in our opinion, which is not a trivial challenge," the analysts wrote.

On top of all of these possible complications, though, is the Fox deal, which is expected to close on January 1.

"The company’s pivot will happen during what is likely to be a complex integration culturally between Fox and Disney," analysts said.

But even considering the potential issues, Barclays analysts believe Disney has "the key mix of assets to be successful," and think its upcoming Investor Day should act as an opportunity to clarify questions and give investors a sense of the scale of Disney's ambitions.

SEE ALSO: Warner Bros. triumphed over Disney in public sentiment after hiring James Gunn for 'Suicide Squad 2'

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