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10 things you need to know before the opening bell (SPY, SPX, QQQ, DIA, PCG, NVDA)

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Boarder wall

Here is what you need to know.

Trump seems to be backing down in the trade war with China. President Donald Trump and his administration have taken a softer tone against China in recent weeks, and talks between the two sides have restarted ahead of the G20 summit in Buenos Aires, Argentina, scheduled for the end of November.

A top economist warns Trump's China trade war is doing more damage to the US economy than people think. "We expect a material slowing in the fourth quarter of this year — so right now — into the first quarter of next year," Seth Carpenter, UBS' top US-focused economist, said in London on Thursday at the launch of the bank's 2019 Global Economic Outlook.

The IMF just became the latest to warn about the $1.3 trillion 'leveraged loan' market. "With interest rates extremely low for years and with ample money flowing though the financial system, yield-hungry investors are tolerating ever-higher levels of risk and betting on financial instruments that, in less speculative times, they might sensibly shun," the International Monetary Fund said. "It is not only the sheer volume of debt that is causing concern. Underwriting standards and credit quality have deteriorated."

Oil is gaining ground. West Texas Intermediate crude oil was up 1.54% at $57.33 a barrel, on track for a third straight day of gains after closing Tuesday at its lowest level in a year.

California's biggest utility provider has seen half its market value wiped out since the wildfires started. The Pacific Gas and Electric Company has lost more than 60% of its market value after saying last week that it experienced problems with transmission lines and substations near where the wildfire in Paradise, California, erupted. Shares were up 38% ahead of Friday's opening bell after a state regulator said late Thursday that he couldn't see a scenario in which PG&E would go bankrupt.

Nvidia misses on revenue and profits. Nvidia was down 18% early Friday after reporting third-quarter adjusted earnings of $1.84 a share on revenue of $3.18 billion, missing the $1.92 and $3.24 billion that analysts were expecting. The chipmaker's fourth-quarter revenue guidance also fell short of estimates.

The world has a new most expensive living artist. The sale of David Hockney's "Portrait of an Artist (Pool with Two Figures)" for $90.3 million at Christie's auction house easily broke the 2013 record of $58.4 million, set by Jeff Koons when his orange balloon dog sold in 2013.

Stock markets around the world were mixed. China's Shanghai Composite (+0.41%) led the advance in Asia, and Britain's FTSE (-0.12%) clings to losses in Europe. The S&P 500 is set to open down 0.46% near 2,719.

Earnings reports trickle out. Viacom releases its quarterly results ahead of the opening bell.

US economic data flows. Industrial production and capacity utilization will cross the wires at 9:15 a.m. ET before TIC flows are released at 4 p.m. ET. The US 10-year yield is unchanged at 3.11%.

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NOW WATCH: A sleep expert explains what happens to your body and brain if you don't get enough sleep


Meet 20-year-old Tenshin Nasukawa, Floyd Mayweather's next opponent who loves anime, aliens, and Harry Potter

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Boxer Floyd Mayweather Jr. of the U.S. poses for a photograph with his opponent Tenshin Nasukawa during a news conference in Tokyo.JPG

Tenshin Nasukawa may well be the most interesting 20-year-old in combat sports.

Last month, Nasukawa was a relatively obscure fighter, globally-speaking. He is a rising star in Japanese mixed martial arts and competes in the Rizin Fighting Federation, a promotion that is only three years old and receives little press in the US and the UK.

But what a difference a few weeks makes. Nasukawa has been thrust into the media spotlight as Rizin made a stunning announcement — the company's phenom will fight the unbeaten American boxer Floyd Mayweather on December 31 in Japan.

Mayweather backtracked on the show just days after announcing it at a press conference in Japan. "I was completely blindsided," he said in an Instagram statement. But the bout looks like it is now back on, as Mayweather told TMZ Sports this week that fans can expect an "exhibition" consisting of three, three minute rounds with no kicking allowed.

So, the show will go on and the world will see more of Nasukawa.

But who is he, exactly?

Despite his young age, Nasukawa is already an accomplished competitor with an unblemished processional record.

If his kickboxing record of 27-0 (20 wins by knockout), and his mixed martial arts record of 4-0 (two wins by knockout, and one by submission), are indicative of his promise, his impressive stoppage wins over the former IBF boxing world champion Amnat Ruenroeng and the former Muay Thai champion Wanchalong PK Senchaigym are testament to his talent-level.

His Instagram profile, which has 237,000 followers, suggests there's more to the fighter than a strong record, though.

Here's everything you need to know about Nasukawa, the fight game's newest star.

SEE ALSO: Everything we know so far about Floyd Mayweather's extraordinary move to MMA firm Rizin, where he'll fight Tenshin Nasukawa in Japan

DON'T MISS: Conor McGregor says Floyd Mayweather's Tenshin Nasukawa matchup is like 'something out of Rush Hour 5'

This is Tenshin Nasukawa. Born in 1998, Nasukawa grew to become a young boy with a fascination for aliens, anime, and for fighting. He has a black belt in the Kyokushin style of karate and is an expert kickboxer to boot.

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SourceInstagram, and BBC.



Nasukawa began his combat sports journey when he started practicing karate at five years old. Before he turned professional, he had an amateur kickboxing record of 99 wins against five losses and one draw. Even more impressive, he beat prominent Muay Thai champion Wanchalong PK Senchaigym while he was still a student in high school. For many, this was when a new legend was born.

Source: MixedMartialArts.com and YouTube.



Nasukawa is a big fan of cartoons, specifically those from Japan. He grew up on anime, and likes shows like "One Piece,""Naruto," and "Hajime no Ippo" (pictured below), a Japanese manga series focusing on a student who begins a career in boxing, beating up multiple opponents and winning many championships. Nasukawa himself competed in over 100 fights before he had even left high school, so it could be just a matter of time before he is immortalised in an anime or manga series of his own.

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Source: Instagram and BBC.



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Analyst says Nordstrom has become a 'victim of its own success' as customers ditch stores to shop on its website (JWN)

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Nordstrom

  • Nordstrom's online business is thriving, but at least one analyst says it's happening at the expense of its physical stores. 
  • The online store has been driving growth for Nordstrom in recent years. 
  • Digital sales now represent 30% of the retailer's total sales.  

Nordstrom's online business is thriving, but at least one analyst says it's happening at the expense of its physical stores. 

The department-store chain reported third-quarter earnings after market close on Thursday. 

And while its overall same-store sales numbers exceeded expectations — they were up 2.3% during the quarter — a closer look at the breakdown of these numbers reveals that the majority of Nordstrom's growth stemmed from its online platform and off-price channel.  

Same-store sales at its full-price stores were up 0.4% during the quarter. Meanwhile, digital sales growth is up 20% year to date and represented 30% of sales across the business, which includes its off-price chain, Nordstrom Rack. 

"In our view, one of the main issues is the cannibalization of store sales by the online operation. Nordstrom's full line .com business has traditionally performed well, however, a lot of the growth has come from existing consumers who, because they shop online, end up visiting stores less," Neil Saunders, managing director of GlobalData Retail, wrote in a note to clients on Thursday.

He continued: "This reduces impulse buying and the exposure to new parts of the offer. In a sense, Nordstrom is a victim of its own success and needs to explore ways of driving more visits to stores."

The results on Thursday were certainly not an anomaly either. Nordstrom's online and off-price platforms have been leading its growth for some time.  

Saunders writes that Nordstrom should focus on bringing customers back to the store by expanding its homeware selection and adding more lifestyle products, such as beauty styling. 

Nordstrom has already been testing more experiential concepts in some of its newer stores like its menswear-only store, which opened in April and offers denim personalization bars, a restaurant, and shoe-shining service. 

"This balancing out is important not only to counteract the rise of online but also to protect market and customer share as other department stores like Macy's improve their offers," he wrote. 

SEE ALSO: We went shopping at TJ Maxx and Nordstrom Rack to see which was a better discount store, and the winner was clear

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NOW WATCH: How Alibaba turned a fake holiday into a $25 billion shopping extravaganza that's bigger than Black Friday and Cyber Monday combined

How emerging markets will transform the future of online shopping

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This is a preview of a research report from Business Insider Intelligence, Business Insider's premium research service. To learn more about Business Insider Intelligence, click here.

Emerging markets are going to be essential for e-commerce growth, as retailers in developed markets may soon reach saturation in terms of consumer growth.

APAC CAGR

For example, almost half of US households now have a Prime membership, diminishing Amazon's growth potential in the country. Meanwhile, in China, the world's largest e-commerce market, nearly half of the population is actively making online purchases, leaving little room for growth. 

However, India, Southeast Asia, and Latin America are worth keeping an eye on. E-commerce penetration rates in these areas hover between 2-6%, presenting a huge opportunity for future growth as online sales gain traction. Moreover, these regions are expected to grow at compound annual growth rates (CAGRs) of 31%, 32%, and 16%, respectively, through 2021.

This report compiles several e-commerce snapshots, which together highlight the most notable emerging markets in various regions. Each provides an overview of the e-commerce industry in a particular country, discusses influential retailers, and provides insights into the opportunities and challenges for that specific domestic industry.

Here are some of the key takeaways:

  • Emerging markets are going to be essential for e-commerce growth, as retailers in developed markets may soon reach saturation in terms of consumer growth.
  • India is the clear overall leader in e-commerce potential, but countries in Southeast Asia and Latin America are also worth keeping an eye on. Within Southeast Asia, Indonesia shows the most promise for retailers, as the government is loosening restrictions on foreign investments, and its massive population is gaining spending power and more access to internet. Meanwhile, Mexico is a retailer's best bet for expansion in Latin America, due to its stable economy and rising middle class, but Brazil may be gearing up to steal the top spot.
  • However, doing business in these regions can be difficult. In most of these emerging markets, infrastructure is underdeveloped and the population is largely unbanked, making digital payments a challenge.
  • If retailers can build a brand presence in these markets while online shopping is still in its nascent stages, they may become market leaders as e-commerce takes off in the regions. Moreover, these markets could provide new sources of growth for companies that would otherwise stagnate in more mature e-commerce markets.

 In full, the report:

  • Explores the e-commerce industry in India, Southeast Asia, and Latin America.
  • Highlights the leading country in each region, as well as key e-commerce players there. 
  • Outlines the challenges and opportunities each region faces.
  • Gives insight into how these emerging markets may shape the future of e-commerce.

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Stacey Abrams says Brian Kemp will beat her in the Georgia governor's race, but calls his 'voter suppression' tactics 'appalling'

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stacey abrams

  • Republican Brian Kemp will become the next governor of Georgia after his Democratic opponent, Stacey Abrams, ended her bid on Friday evening after a tight and contentious battle.
  • Kemp claimed victory with 50.22 percent of the vote — just barely over the 50 percent threshold to avoid a runoff.
  • Abrams accused Kemp of "deliberate and intentional" voter-suppression tactics and said she would file suit against the state for "gross mismanagement" of the election.

Republican Brian Kemp will become the next governor of Georgia after his Democratic opponent, Stacey Abrams, ended her bid on Friday evening after a tight and contentious battle.

Kemp claimed victory with 50.22 percent of the vote — just barely over the 50 percent threshold to avoid a runoff and, as of Thursday night, earned 54,801 more votes than his opponent did, out of a total 3.9 million ballots cast.

Abrams, who has for months accused Kemp of disenfranchising voters as Georgia's secretary of state, refused to give a traditional concession speech, accusing Kemp of undermining the state's democracy in order to improve his electoral chances.

"I acknowledge that Brian Kemp will be certified as the victor in the 2018 gubernatorial election," Abrams said during her Friday speech. "But to watch an elected official who claims to represent the people in this state baldly pin his hopes for election on suppression of the people's democratic right to vote has been truly appalling. So let's be clear, this is not a speech of concession."

Abrams blamed the state's voter roll purges — which, under Kemp's direction, removed 1.5 million voters from the rolls, the classification of about 50,000 voters as "pending" because their information didn't exactly match that in government files, long lines, faulty equipment, and closed polling places for disenfranchising an untold number of Georgians, a group that disproportionately comprises people of color.

"I will not concede because the erosion of our democracy is not right," said Abrams, who would have become the country's first African American female governor. "But my assessment is that the law currently allows no further viable remedy."

Read more:Hotly contested recounts are underway in Florida, as Georgia and Arizona scramble to finalize results in key races

The Georgia race was one of the most contentious and closely-watched in the country, as Abrams, who received a last-minute boost from Oprah, battled it out with Kemp, a strong Trump supporter who benefited from the president's endorsement. Abrams, the former state House minority leader, came closer to winning a statewide race in Georgia than any Democrat has in decades.

Over the last two weeks, thousands of provisional ballots were counted — including at polling sites that initially said they had completed their counts.

"Make no mistake, the former secretary of state was deliberate and intentional in his actions," she said. "I know that eight years of systemic disenfranchisement, disinvestment, and incompetence had its desired effect on the electoral process in Georgia."

Abrams also said her team would be filing a "major lawsuit" against the state of Georgia for "gross mismanagement" of the election.

"Voting is not a right for some, it is a right for all, and it is not a privilege," Abrams said.

Read more: Democrats' 3 biggest rising stars came up short in an otherwise successful night for the party

But Abrams also said she would "pray for the success of Brian Kemp that he will indeed be a leader of all Georgians."

Trump offered some praise for Abrams on Friday evening: "Stacey Abrams fought brilliantly and hard - she will have a terrific political future!"

In a statement on Friday evening, Kemp, who previously called Abrams' refusal to concede "a disgrace to democracy" and a "temper tantrum," said he looked forward to moving past the divisive race.

"I appreciate her passion, hard work, and commitment to public service," Kemp said of his opponent. "The election is over and hardworking Georgians are ready to move forward. We can no longer dwell on the divisive politics of the past but must focus on Georgia's bright and promising future."

SEE ALSO: Georgia politician and protesters are arrested in the state capitol as tension over tight governors race comes to a head

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NOW WATCH: Fox News' Harris Faulkner is the only black woman in cable news with a daily show: 'It's a tremendous amount of responsibility'

How rope is made at the only traditional working ropewalk in the world

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  • Chatham Dockyard houses the only remaining traditional working ropewalk in the world.
  • The ropewalk is a quarter of a mile long, so long that the rope makers use bicycles to get from one end of the building to the other. 
  • Rope has been made at Chatham Dockyard for 400 years, and it's still produced in almost exactly the same way today. 

 

This is the last traditional working ropewalk in the world. They use traditional methods, and 150-year-old equipment to make 500,000 pounds of rope each year. 

Ropemaking is a simple process of twisting fibers together to create an extremely strong cable, and the principles haven't changed in years. There are two parts to the process, forming and closing. Forming starts with banks of yarn that are run through a die and twisted and compressed into one strand. 

Three of these formed strands are then moved onto the closing machine. This wraps each of the cables together along the ropewalk. The ropewalk is a quarter of a mile long, long enough to make 220 meter lengths of rope. This length is enough to anchor a ship in 40 fathoms of water.  

Chatham Dockyard was once at the forefront of ship building, throughout its history it provided over 500 ships for the Royal Navy and each of those ships needed a lot of rope. An 18th century first rate ship of the line would need around 31 miles of rope, 20 miles for its rigging alone.

At its height the dockyard employed over 10,000 workers. The yarn used to be created on the site too and in a room just above the ropewalk raw fibres of hemp and flax were combed and spun.

The rope made here has been used on the Cutty Sark and the HMS Victory and is still supplied to historic ships today.

Produced by Charlie Floyd

 

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How advances in edge computing are addressing key problems in the healthcare, telecommunications, and automotive sectors

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This is a preview of a research report from Business Insider Intelligence, Business Insider's premium research service. To learn more about Business Insider Intelligence, click here.

Edge computing solutions are key tools that help companies grapple with rising data volumes across industries. These types of solutions are critical in allowing companies to gain more control over the data their IoT devices create and in reducing their reliance on (and the costs of) cloud computing.

edge popularity

These systems are becoming more sought-after — 40% of companies that provide IoT solutions reported that edge computing came up more in discussion with customers in 2017 than the year before, according to Business Insider Intelligence’s 2017 Global IoT Executive Survey. But companies need to know whether they should look into edge computing solutions, and what in particular they can hope to gain from shifting data processing and analysis from the cloud to the edge.

There are three particular types of problems that edge computing solutions are helping to combat across industries:

  • Security issues. Edge computing can limit the exposure of critical data by minimizing how often it’s transmitted. Further, they pre-process data, so there’s less data to secure overall.
  • Access issues. These systems help to provide live insights regardless of whether there’s a network connection available, greatly expanding where companies and organizations can use connected devices and the data they generate.
  • Transmission efficiency. Edge computing solutions process data where it’s created so less needs to be sent to the cloud, leading to lower cloud storage requirements and reduced transmission cost.

In this report, Business Insider Intelligence examines how edge computing is reducing companies' reliance on cloud computing in three key industries: healthcare, telecommunications, and the automotive space. We explore how these systems mitigate issues in each sector by helping to efficiently process growing troves of data, expanding the potential realms of IoT solutions a company can offer, and bringing enhanced computing capability to remote and mobile platforms.

Here are some key takeaways from the report:

  • In healthcare, companies and organizations are using edge computing to improve telemedicine and remote monitoring capabilities.
  • For telecommunications companies, edge computing is helping to reduce network congestion and enabling a shift toward the IoT platform market.
  • And in the automotive space, edge computing systems are enabling companies to increase the capabilities of connected cars and trucks and approach autonomy.

In full, the report:

  • Explores the key advantages edge computing solutions can provide.
  • Highlights the circumstances when companies should look into edge systems.
  • Identifies key vendors and partners in specific industries while showcasing case studies of successful edge computing programs.

    Subscribe to a Premium pass to Business Insider Intelligence and gain immediate access to:

    This report and more than 250 other expertly researched reports
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'A s---show in a dumpster fire': Attorney George Conway, husband of Kellyanne Conway, rails against the Trump administration

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George Conway

  • Attorney George Conway, husband of White House counselor Kellyanne Conway, railed against the Republican Party and President Donald Trump during an interview with Yahoo News.
  • "I don't feel comfortable being a Republican anymore," Conway said on a Yahoo News podcast. "I think the Republican Party has become something of a personality cult."
  • Conway, who declined an offer to lead the Justice Department's civil division in June 2017, said he had reservations about taking a role within the Trump administration, which he described as a "s---show in a dumpster fire."

Attorney George Conway, husband of White House counselor Kellyanne Conway, railed against the Republican Party and President Donald Trump during an interview with Yahoo News' podcast "Skullduggery."

"I don't feel comfortable being a Republican anymore," Conway said on the podcast. "I think the Republican Party has become something of a personality cult."

Conway described Trump's tweets criticizing Attorney General Jeff Sessions and the ongoing indictments of Republican lawmakers Duncan Hunter and Chris Collins as "appalling," and a sharp deviation from political norms.

"We're talking about someone who has sworn an oath to uphold the Constitution and laws of the United States," Conway said, "and to criticize the attorney general for permitting justice to be done without regard to political party is very disturbing."

Conway, a litigator for the New York-based law firm Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz, was reportedly the front-runner candidate to lead the Justice Department's civil division. Conway declined the offer in June 2017, saying at the time that although he would "continue to support the president and his administration," it was not "the right time to leave the private sector."

Donald Trump James Comey

Conway said he had reservations about Trump's relationship with the Justice Department as he was considering the offer.

"I'm filling out the financial forms and it's like — I forget what time of year it was, it was like late April — man, I'm thinking," Conway said on "Skullduggery."

"I'm watching this thing, and it's like the administration is like a s---show in a dumpster fire. And I'm like, 'I don't want to do that. I don't know.'"

"And then you got the Comey firing, and then you got [Trump] going on TV saying, 'I had Russia on my mind,' and it's like, 'Oh, no,'" Conway said, referring to Trump's 2017 firing of FBI director James Comey, who was investigating Russia's meddling in the 2016 US presidential election.

"And then I'm driving home one day from New York, and it's like 'Robert Mueller appointed special counsel,' and then I realized, this guy is going to be at war with the Justice Department."

Conway has not been shy about his views toward the Trump administration. In tweets and opinion columns, he has criticized the Trump White House in matters relating to the Justice Department and jurisprudence, among other things.

This week, Conway organized a high-profile group of conservative and libertarian attorneys called "Checks and Balances," which provided "a voice and a network for like-minded attorneys" who believe the Trump administration has compromised the rule of law.

Conway said he considers Trump to be "the lesser evil" when compared to Hillary Clinton, as part of his calculus on voting for him in the 2016 presidential election. Conway said he was unsure whether he would vote for him again, adding that "If faced with the choice again, I'd probably move to Australia."

SEE ALSO: Kellyanne Conway opens up about how the president is affecting her marriage

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NOW WATCH: The Obamas are worth $40 million — here's how they make and spend their money


CIA reportedly concludes Saudi crown prince ordered assassination of Washington Post contributor Jamal Khashoggi

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Mohammed bin Salman

  • The CIA has determined that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman ordered the assassination of Jamal Khashoggi, according to a report from The Washington Post.
  • A phone call from the Saudi ambassador to the United States to Khashoggi, audio recordings from Turkish officials, and the fact that some members of the 15-person team who carried out the operation have been on Mohammed's security team led to the CIA's conclusion, The Post says.
  • The Saudi government has repeatedly changed its story on how Khashoggi died. This week, the Saudi public prosecutor indicted 11 people and sentenced five to death following its investigation.
  • President Donald Trump has been slow to say whether he believes Mohammed bin Salman is behind the killing.

The CIA has determined that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman ordered the assassination of journalist Jamal Khashoggi, 59, according to reports from multiple news agencies. Saudi Arabia has repeatedly denied that the crown prince had a role in Khashoggi's death.

Khashoggi, who was killed last month in the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul, Turkey, contributed to The Washington Post and had written editorials critical of the crown prince. He had gone to the consulate to pick up documents needed to marry his Turkish fiancée, Hatice Cengiz, 36.

The CIA's conclusion was based on several pieces of intelligence. The Washington Post, which broke the story, said that information includes a call from Saudi ambassador Khalid bin Salman, Mohammed's brother, to Khashoggi. During the phone call, Khalid bin Salman encouraged Khashoggi to go to the consulate in Istanbul. Other pieces of information supporting the CIA's conclusion are audio recordings from Turkish officials and the fact that several people in the 15-person team that flew to Turkey had served on Mohammed's security team, according to the report.

An unnamed official told The Wall Street Journal that there was no "smoking gun" and that the CIA's assessment was based on "an understanding of how Saudi Arabia works."

The official also told The Journal "this would not and could not have happened" without the crown prince being involved.

The call from Khalid bin Salman to Khashoggi was made "at his brother's direction," according to The Post, though it is unclear if Khalid bin Salman knew that the journalist would be killed. A spokeswoman for the Saudi Embassy told The Post that Khalid bin Salman and Khashoggi did not discuss Turkey and asserted that the CIA's "purported assessment are false. We have and continue to hear various theories without seeing the primary basis for these speculations."

Their full statement was tweeted out on Friday:

The audio recordings from the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul have been given to multiple international governments and were heard by CIA director Gina Haspel. They reveal that Khashoggi was killed within "moments" of arriving at the consulate.

The Saudi government has repeatedly changed its story on Khashoggi's death. On Thursday, the Saudi public prosecutor Saud al-Mojeb released his findings. A spokesman for the prosecutor, Shaalan al-Shaalan, said 11 people had been indicted and five face the death penalty; their names were not released.

The prosecutor's office said an official at the head of a mission to persuade Khashoggi to come to Saudi Arabia ordered the killing. Instead of bringing the journalist back, he was given a lethal injection, his body was dismembered, and the body (which has still not been recovered) was handed over to a "local collaborator."

On Thursday, US officials also announced sanctions against 17 Saudi officials.

"The Saudi officials we are sanctioning were involved in the abhorrent killing of Jamal Khashoggi," according to a statement from Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin. "These individuals who targeted and brutally killed a journalist who resided and worked in the United States must face consequences for their actions."

President Donald Trump has been slow to connect the crown prince with the killing.

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NOW WATCH: A sleep expert explains what happens to your body and brain if you don't get enough sleep

Trump alarms his confidantes with questions about Mike Pence's loyalty

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  • President Donald Trump has been asking advisers lately about whether Vice President Mike Pence is loyal, according to people familiar with the discussions cited by The New York Times on Friday.
  • The question, which The Times said had been asked repeatedly, alarmed advisers and could indicate possible doubts Trump may have about his second-in-command.
  • Some people in the White House described Pence as a loyal supporter of the president, and Pence himself has made clear in public statements that he is committed to Trump and his agenda.
  • According to The Times, outside advisers have suggested Pence may not be a strong running mate for the 2020 presidential election.
  • White House deputy press secretary Hogan Gidley brushed off the rumors, saying that Trump "absolutely supports the vice president."

President Donald Trump has been asking advisers lately about whether Vice President Mike Pence is loyal, according to people familiar with the discussions cited by The New York Times on Friday.

The question, which The Times said had been asked repeatedly, alarmed advisers and could indicate possible doubts Trump may have about his second-in-command.

Some people in the White House described Pence as a loyal supporter of the president, and Pence himself has made clear in public statements that he is committed to Trump and his agenda.

According to The Times, outside advisers have suggested Pence may not be a strong running mate for the 2020 presidential election.

The advisers who floated the idea reportedly believe that Trump ought to select a vice presidential candidate who appeals to female voters — a demographic with which Trump struggles to appeal to— despite his claims that he is already "doing well with women."

Other sources told The Times that Trump's inquiry about Pence's loyalty was actually in reference to Nick Ayers' fealty to his cause. Ayers, Pence's chief of staff, is reportedly a front-runner to replace White House chief of staff John Kelly, who has long been rumored to be on his way out.

White House deputy press secretary Hogan Gidley reportedly brushed off the speculation on Trump's alleged doubts about Pence, saying the president "absolutely supports the vice president and thinks he's doing an incredible job helping to carry out the mission and policies of this administration.

mike pence donald trump

Pence hasn't always been complimentary of Trump. He expressed disapproval of him as a candidate during the 2016 presidential race after the infamous "Access Hollywood" tape revealed Trump boasting about manhandling women.

Pence said at the time that he was "offended by the words and actions" in the recording — a statement Trump has reportedly not forgotten.

People familiar with Trump's thinking suggested that after loyalists like his longtime personal attorney Michael Cohen, turned on him, Trump has become paranoid about who his allies and enemies are.

"It's quite likely that the president has been reflecting on who's loyal, who's not loyal ... and he's starting to be paranoid in a way that's almost feral," Pulitzer Prize winning biographer Michael D'Antonio said during a CNN interview on Friday. "This is a cornered animal who really can't be trusted by anyone."

Despite Trump's questions about Pence, he has not indicated he would look for a new running mate for 2020.

During a press conference earlier in November, Trump jokingly turned to Pence and asked "Mike, will you be my running mate," to which Pence responded by nodding and raising his right hand.

"Thank you," Trump said. "OK, good. The answer's yes, OK? That was unexpected, but I feel very fine."

SEE ALSO: Anthony Scaramucci dropped a curious claim about Mike Pence in his infamous New Yorker interview

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NOW WATCH: Lindsey Graham once warned there would be 'holy hell to pay' if Trump fired Jeff Sessions

Low morale, staff firings, and new pricing plans coming: Inside the walls of MoviePass (HMNY)

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MoviePass

  • MoviePass fired three staff members on Friday, including two who made up the entirety of its human resources staff, a source at the company told Business Insider.
  • MoviePass CEO Mitch Lowe has not been on all-hands calls in two months, according to the source, who believes this is a sign of his lack of involvement in the day-to-day operations of the business.
  • "Mitch has been and continues to be involved in the day-to-day operations of the company," MoviePass told Business Insider in a statement. 
  • The company is planning to unveil a three-tier pricing plan, with the most expensive being similar to AMC Theatres' subscription plan, AMC Stubs A-List.

On Thursday MoviePass' parent company, Helios and Matheson Analytics, disclosed it lost $130 million last quarter, and suffered a "significant decline" in MoviePass subscribers. 

The following morning, MoviePass staff came to work to a startling discovery. MoviePass' two-person HR department had been fired, a source at the company told Business Insider.

Now some at MoviePass are wondering if they could be next on the chopping block, according to the source.

To top it all off, MoviePass CEO Mitch Lowe has been hard to find, according to the source. 

Lowe has not been on an all-hands call in two months, which the source said was a sign of his lack of involvement in the day-to-day operations of the company. Some of Lowe's duties, including running the all-hands, are being done by Khalid Itum, MoviePass' VP of Business Development. 

"Mitch has been and continues to be involved in the day-to-day operations of the company," MoviePass told Business Insider in a statement. 

Shortly after Business Insider called MoviePass for comment, another all hands was called to inform staff of a forthcoming story, according to the source. 

Read more:MoviePass competitor Sinemia is being sued by angry customers who say it ripped them off with new fees

On a call Monday, Itum told the staff the company was "not going anywhere." In fact, MoviePass plans to make a big splash soon by unveiling a three-tier pricing plan for subscribers, the company source said.

This would include the current pricing level of $9.95 for three titles per month as the bottom-tier option, and a top-tier price that would be similar to what AMC is offering with its AMC Stubs A-List, at $19.95 a month for three movies per week.

"We have been listening closely to our subscribers," MoviePass also told Business Insider in a statement. "While we can't share specifics at the moment, we're looking forward to releasing our new programs intended to maximize positive member experience."

The last official subscriber count the public got from MoviePass was when it crossed three million subscribers in June. The company source told Business Insider that tens of thousands of subscribers canceled in October.

SEE ALSO: "Creed II" escapes a sequel slump with thrilling fight scenes and a gripping performance by Michael B. Jordan

Join the conversation about this story »

NOW WATCH: The inside story behind the Marvel movie you were never supposed to see

The 21 biggest questions we have after seeing 'Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald'

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Warning: Spoilers ahead for "Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald."

"Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald" is in theaters and there's a lot to unpack in the sequel.

While you're processing the many subplots of the very stuffed two-hour movie, you're probably asking yourself a lot of questions. What is going on with Queenie? Is that final reveal for real? And did Tina really spend half the movie mad at Newt because of a typo? (Yes.)

We hear you. Keep reading to see the biggest questions we have after "The Crimes of Grindelwald."

Why is Grindelwald even being moved at the film's start?

The plan was for Grindelwald to be transported to Europe to confront his unspecified crimes, but no one explains why he needed to be taken across the pond in the first place. Couldn't MACUSA handle Grindelwald on their own? 



What exactly ARE Grindelwald's crimes?

The title of the first film, "Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them," made sense because it introduced Newt as a magizoologist running through New York and trying to get a hold of magical creatures on the loose. 

The sequel is set in motion by Grindelwald's clever plan to escape while in transit to Europe to "answer for crimes he has committed," but fans never learn specific details about his wrongdoings. 



What happened between Leta Lestrange and Newt Scamander?

It's clear there was something between the two of them at some point. In the first movie, we see Newt have a photo of Leta. At the start of "The Crimes of Grindelwald," Leta appeared to have feelings for Newt from the moment she's introduced, despite being engaged to his older brother, Theseus. Leta also told Newt she wished he would accept the couple's invitations to dinner.

In a flashback, we learn that Leta and Newt grew close while studying at Hogwarts. Leta constantly felt judged because of the assumptions that came with her identity as a Lestrange, while Newt took comfort in befriending and caring for various magical creatures. They bonded over feeling like outsiders, but beyond that, it's not clear if they ever became more than friends.

Before we could ever learn, Leta dies in the movie.

"I think Jo [JK Rowling] wrote something really interesting where it's not so loud,"Kravitz told "E! News" of the love triangle. "You know, relationships evolve. Family is complicated. Love is complicated. And I think it just adds a layer of humanity to all of the scenes that we're all in together."

 



See the rest of the story at Business Insider

We're learning more about what Draymond Green told Kevin Durant during their blow-up, and now teams are circling the Warriors to see what happens next

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  • Draymond Green reportedly told Kevin Durant. "You're a b---- and you know you're a b----" and told Durant that the Warriors didn't need him during their heated exchange on Monday.
  • According to one report, rival teams are trying to gather more information on the Warriors to gauge the mood and what might happen next.
  • The Warriors will move on from the incident, but it's worth wondering if the tension will linger throughout the season.

Draymond Green's blow-up on Kevin Durant during an overtime loss to the Los Angeles Clippers on Monday has seemingly threatened to derail the Warriors.

After Green turned the ball over at the end of regulation, Durant criticized him for not getting him the ball. Green responded by attacking Durant, reportedly calling Durant a "b----" several times and criticizing the handling of his impending free agency. Now we're beginning to learn some more specifics of what was said.

The Athletic's Shams Charania reported that after Durant yelled at Green for not getting him the ball. Green responded (as written by Charania): "Don't talk to me and come at me like I'm [unnamed Warriors big man]. I've won before you came."

Yahoo's Chris Haynes reported further details of Green's tirade.

"You're a b---- and you know you're a b----," Green reportedly said to Durant, adding: "We don't need you. We won without you. Leave."

draymond green kevin durantThe Athletic's Sam Amick reported that Green's words were even worse than what was reported, in part because of the biting nature of them.

There's a lot to parse in the whole matter. The Warriors suspended Green for one game, docking him over $120,000 in game pay. Reports since have suggested that the Warriors not only wanted to make clear that Green crossed the line, but that the punishment was public, just as Green's blow-up came in public.

But despite most believing Green crossed a line, according to reports, some also felt that his criticism of Durant's handling of his free agency struck a chord. Durant is a free agent at the end of the year and has neither committed to staying with the Warriors nor leaving. He also hasn't shut down questions on it, as some other stars have before free agency in the past. According to several reports, the lingering cloud of Durant's free agency has rubbed some Warriors, notably Green, the wrong way, with The Athletic's Tim Kawakami calling it"Durant Free-Agent Fatigue."

Read more: Kevin Durant has twice taken the same contract gamble as LeBron James, and it seems to be at the source of the Warriors' tension

What happens next is anyone's guess, but NBA teams are playing close attention. Haynes reported: "Rival teams and opposing players are attempting to gather more information on the morale and status of the Warriors, sources said. The whole affair is being viewed as promising to the opposition."

Green issued a statement to reporters on Thursday, saying he is passionate and sometimes that passion goes too far. Notably, he did not mention any sort of apology in his statement (though he spoke with Durant in private, and the two were seen walking into the Houston Rockets arena together and shooting at the same basket).

draymond green kevin durant

Also notable, Green gave almost an ominous quote, saying that whatever happens next, the Warriors have had a good run.

"At the end of the day, as I've said before, whatever Kevin decides to do, whatever Klay decides to do, whatever who decides to do, we had great years together."

In Green's first game back with the team, they lost in rather flat fashion to the Rockets, 107-86.

There's little doubt that Green and Durant will make up and the team will move on. In Green's statement, he issued a warning to other teams that they will have to beat the Warriors, as the Warriors won't beat themselves.

But Green's explosion, while inappropriate, also signaled that there had been building tension, and finally, it boiled over. It's worth wondering how much that will linger with the team, even if Green and Durant drop the matter.

Join the conversation about this story »

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How automakers can compete in the future of mobility

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This is a preview of a research report from Business Insider Intelligence, Business Insider's premium research service. To learn more about Business Insider Intelligence, click here.

Automakers are on the verge of a prolonged period of rapid change to the way they do business, thanks to the combined disruptive forces of growing on-demand mobility services and self-driving cars, which will start to come to market in the next couple of years.

By the end of 2019, Google spinoff Waymo, Uber, and GM all plan to have fleets of autonomous cars deployed in various US cities to provide on-demand rides for passengers. By eliminating the cost of the driver, these rides are expected to be far cheaper than typical Uber or Lyft rides, and even cheaper than owning a car for personal transportation.

Many industry experts are predicting that such cheap on-demand autonomous rides service will result in a long-term decline in car ownership rates — PwC predicts that the total number of cars on the road in the US and EU will drop from 556 million last year to 416 million in 2030.

This decline in car ownership represents an enormous threat to automakers’ traditional business models, forcing them to find alternative revenue sources. Many of these automakers, including GM, Ford, and Daimler, have plans to launch their own on-demand ride-hailing services with fleets of self-driving cars they will manufacture, potentially giving them a new stream of recurring revenue. This could set them up to take a sizeable share of a market that is expected to be worth trillions by 2030.

However, competing in the on-demand mobility market will pit legacy automakers against ride-hailing services from startups and tech giants that have far greater experience in acquiring and engaging consumers through digital channels. To succeed in what will likely be a hyper-competitive market for urban ride-hailing, automakers will have to foster new skill sets in their organizations, and transform from companies that primarily produce vehicles to ones that also manage vehicle fleets and customer relationships.

That will entail competing with startups and tech giants for software development and data science talent, as well as reforming innovation processes to keep pace with digital trendsetters. Automakers will also need to create unique mobile app and in-car experiences to lure customers. Finally, these automakers will face many overall barriers in the market, including convincing consumers that self-driving cars are safe, and dealing with a complex and evolving regulatory landscape.

In a new report, Business Insider Intelligence, Business Insider's premium research service, delves into the future of the on-demand mobility space, focusing on how automakers will use fleets of self-driving vehicles to break into an emerging industry that's been dominated thus far by startups like Uber and Lyft. We examine how the advent of autonomous vehicles will reshape urban transportation, and the impact it will have on traditional automakers. We then detail how automakers can leverage their core strengths to create new revenue sources with autonomous mobility services, and explore the key areas they'll need to gain new skills and capabilities in to compete with mobility startups and tech giants that are also eyeing this opportunity. 

Here are some of the key takeaways:

  • The low cost of autonomous taxis will eventually lead car ownership rates among urban consumers to decline sharply, putting automakers’ traditional business models at risk.
  • Many automakers plan to launch their own autonomous ride-hailing services with the self-driving cars they're developing to replace losses from declining car sales, putting them in direct competition with mobility startups and tech giants looking to launch similar services.
  • Additionally, automakers plan to maximize utilization of their autonomous on-demand vehicles by performing last-mile deliveries, which will force them to compete with a variety of players in the parcel logistics industry.
  • Regulatory pressures could also push automakers to consider alternative mobility services besides on-demand taxis, such as autonomous on-demand shuttle or bus services.
  • Providing these types of services will force automakers to make drastic changes to their organizations to acquire new talent and skills, and not all automakers will succeed at that.

In full, the report:

  • Forecasts the growth of autonomous on-demand ride-hailing services in the US.
  • Examines the cost benefits of such services for consumers, and how they will reshape consumers’ transportation habits.
  • Details the different avenues for automakers to monetize the growth of autonomous ride-hailing.
  • Provides an overview of the various challenges that all players in the self-driving car space will need to overcome to monetize their investments in these new technologies in the coming years.
  • Explains the key factors that will be critical for automakers to succeed in this emerging market.
  • Offers examples of how automakers can differentiate their apps and services from competitors’.

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A contagious virus is infecting people at California evacuation shelters amid the state's most destructive wildfire in history

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Camp Fire in Paradise

  • A contagious gastrointestinal illness has sickened at least 145 people at evacuation shelters serving people displaced by the Camp Fire in Northern California. 
  • As of Wednesday evening, 41 were experiencing norovirus symptoms, and 25 people had been hospitalized, the Butte County Public Health Department said in a release on Thursday.
  • Norovirus is spread through direct contact with an infected person, contaminated food or water, and by touching a surface contaminated by the virus, not washing your hands, and then touching your mouth.

A contagious gastrointestinal illness has sickened at least 145 people at evacuation shelters serving people fleeing the Camp Fire in Northern California.

The Butte County Public Health Department is working with the Red Cross and state and federal agencies to slow the spread of norovirus, a highly-contagious illness that can cause diarrhea and vomiting. As of Wednesday evening, 41 were experiencing symptoms, and 25 people had been hospitalized, the Butte County Public Health Department said in a release on Thursday.

Norovirus is the "leading cause of illness and outbreaks from contaminated food in the United States," according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and outbreaks are common in schools, restaurants, cruise ships, and other places where people are in close quarters. It is spread through direct contact with an infected person, contaminated food or water, and by touching a surface contaminated by the virus, not washing your hands, and then touching your mouth.

There is no vaccine for the virus, which usually lasts between one and three days and causes nausea, stomach cramping, vomiting and/or diarrhea. Treatment includes staying hydrated, due to the fluid-loss that occurs as a result of vomiting and diarrhea.

Officials are taking precautions at the shelters, which include creating separate areas, hand-washing spaces, and bathrooms for sick evacuees. Additional medical support and education are also being offered, in addition to cleanings with materials known to be effective against the virus.

"This virus can spread quickly through the community," Butte County Public Health Officer Andy Miller, MD, said in a statement. "Norovirus had begun to spread in our community even prior to the fires."

The Camp Fire has burned at least 146,000 acres and was 50% contained as of late Friday night.

It has raged across Northern California in Butte County, in an area east of the city of Chico, where many of the shelters are located. The fire all but decimated the town of Paradise, and it claimed the lives of at least 71 people. More than 1,000 people are listed as missing by the Butte County Sheriff's Office.

Local law-enforcement officials told The New York Times those numbers were "dynamic," and could change. Some 50,000 people have evacuated to more than 1,300 shelters, CBS News reported on Wednesday.

As of Wednesday evening, these specific shelters were impacted by the norovirus:

  • 21 people out of a total of 179 evacuees were experiencing symptoms at the Neighborhood Church shelter.
  • 10 were experiencing the illness out of 352 at the Oroville Nazarene Church shelter.
  • Out of 142 people at the Butte County Fairgrounds shelter, nine were experiencing symptoms.
  • And one person out of 200 people at the East Avenue Church was experiencing the illness.
  • Both evacuees and volunteers alike have been sickened, and "the number of sick people is increasing every day," the Butte County Public Health Department said.

BuzzFeed News spoke to some evacuees who are avoiding shelters and sleeping in cars and tents to avoid the illness.

Join the conversation about this story »

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How it will play out if MPs vote down Theresa May's Brexit deal

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LONDON — As the dust settles on the most chaotic week of British politics in recent memory, one question has become increasingly important. What happens if parliament votes down Theresa May's Brexit deal?

Early in December, the prime minister will put her deal to a "meaningful vote," in parliament. As things stand, it's looking increasingly likely that MPs will reject it.

All opposition parties have vowed to oppose the deal, with only a small handful of rebel Labour MPs set to support the government. 

Meanwhile, the Democratic Unionist Party, which props up May's minority government, say they intend to oppose the deal because of the "backstop" mechanism agreed to by May would mean additional checks on goods passing between Great Britain and Northern Ireland.

A significant number of Conservative MPs also intend to oppose the deal.  Around 20 have already called for a vote of no confidence in May because of the deal with around a dozen more also suggesting they are likely to oppose the deal, both on the Leave and Remain wings of the party.

Anything but a defeat for the prime minister therefore appears unlikely. So what will happen if May does lose that vote? Here's how it could all play out.

1. A no-deal Brexit

Will there be a Brexit deal?

The first option is to leave the EU without a deal in March next year. There are two distinct types of no-deal exit. A relatively managed no-deal in which both sides acknowledge their inability to sign off a deal, and try to minimise chaos for businesses and people by reaching ad-hoc side agreements in important areas like border controls and cross-border finance contracts.

The alternative is an acrimonious and very hard exit with the UK paying no money and the EU rejecting side-deals. However, such an outcome is unlikely according to Charles Grant at the Centre for European Reform, who believes "those responsible for the chaos would soon become unpopular with their voters; also, the financial markets’ reaction would be more extreme, with a sharp weakening in the value of the pound."

Neither the EU or the UK want to leave without a deal. Even hard Brexiteers like Liam Fox appear to have awoken to the dangers of such an outcome, with the International Trade Secretary saying on Friday that "a deal is better than no deal." 

However, if May is unable to get a deal through then a no-deal Brexit becomes the default position. However unlikely it may seem, the possibility cannot be ruled out.

2. A general election

Jeremy Corbyn John McDonnell

If May is unable to get a deal through parliament then one option open to her is a general election. This is the option being pursued by the Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn who believes he can put enough pressure on May to force her to go back to the country if she is unable to get support for her deal from MPs. It would certainly not be impossible to force an election, but under the Fixed Term Parliaments Act it would require at least 7 Conservative MPs to join the opposition in backing one for a new election to be held.

After the calamitous experience of last year's general election where May threw away her majority, and with the parties close in the polls, most Conservative MPs are horrified by the prospect of an election for one simple reason: They could lose. The prospect of a radical socialist prime minister would likely be enough to frighten pretty much all Tory MPs away from backing an election. 

Tory MP and former minister Guto Bebb, who backs a "People's Vote," told Business Insider that he would expect the Conservatives to lose "very badly" if they sought a general election after the deal failed in parliament.

"If the prime minister's deal fails in parliament, and she decides to call a general election to get a mandate, my expectation is that the Conservative party would lose very badly," he said.

"The proposition would be: 'So far we've failed, can we have a vote of confidence please?'"

"I just can't see that being a rational way forward for the government," he added.

3. Send the prime minister back to Brussels

Michel Barnier

Part of the justification made by Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn for another election would be to allow him to take over the reins of government in order to renegotiate a deal with the EU. The current line from Brussels is that the deal cannot be re-negotiated. However, if push came to shove, there would probably be room for at least some EU flexibility in order to avoid a damaging no-deal Brexit. The pressure for more flexibility would arguably be even greater if there was a new prime minister and party in Downing Street. However, any renegotiation would require time and the possible extension of the Article 50 process. While the EU has not ruled out an extension they would likely be incredibly reluctant to do so under any but the most extreme scenarios.

4. A People's Vote

Brexit People's Vote protest

There is growing cross-party support in Westminster for a so-called People's Vote — or a second referendum — especially among Liberal Democrat and Labour MPs, but also some prominent Conservative MPs including Dominic Grieve and Jo Johnson.

There are several factors working against supporters of a People's Vote, however. Critics say it would undermine trust in democracy and potentially cause civil unrest. They also point out that there is a very good chance the Remain campaign would simply lose again, which would defeat the object of the exercise from many of their perspectives.

Downing Street, however, is vehemently opposed to another referendum, and Theresa May has said it would be "a gross betrayal of our democracy." A Conservative government would almost certainly never legislate for such an outcome. The party would be eviscerated at the polls and its leader ousted immediately.

But there's a reasonable chance that Labour could be in power before March next year. By far the most likely route to a second referendum would be through a Labour government which has explicitly kept the option of supporting it on the table, despite Jeremy Corbyn's personal reluctance to support one.

5. Voting for May's deal a second time

theresa may cabinet back Brexit deal

Another scenario which could see disaster averted is a second vote on the deal. Theresa May — or whoever succeeds her after being forced out — could put the current deal, or a marginally renegotiated one, before parliament a second time. Faced with the prospect of a terrifying no-deal or another referendum, or general election, it remains possible that sceptical MPs could be cajoled into supporting it. However, such a turnaround would be dependent on the first vote being relatively close. If May loses the vote on her deal by a large margin, as it currently seems feasible that she will, then it will be much harder to persuade MPs who rejected it the first time, to risk the wrath of their supporters by going into the voting lobbies to support her deal a second time.

SEE ALSO: Theresa May's premiership is now rapidly running out of road

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The Evolution of Ev: The creator of Twitter, Blogger, and Medium has a plan to fix the mess he made of the internet

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  • Ev Williams invented Blogger in 1999, Twitter in 2006, and Medium in 2012. In many ways he created the digital content ocean we're swimming in today.
  • But Williams believes social media has become toxic. "I've pretty much weaned myself off of being addicted to social media," he tells Business Insider in an exclusive interview.
  • "If you create a system that rewards attention, the easiest way to get attention is to be a bad actor. That underlies our media ecosystem, that underlies our political system, and it’s degrading society in so many ways," he says.
  • Now, Williams has a solution. He has created a new business model for Medium that rewards high-quality content and suppresses trolls. If it works, the internet will become a better place to live.
  • He also told us how he's trying to become a better manager, by reading anonymous feedback from his staff.

First, let's correct a myth: Ev Williams definitely has a desk.

Earlier this year, the New York Times reported that Williams — the billionaire entrepreneur who founded Twitter and Blogger — runs his new company, Medium, from an office that has no desk. The article included a photo of Williams resting on a sofa at his headquarters, no desk in sight.

It conjured an image of a mercurial Silicon Valley mogul, controlling his minions from an iPad or a phone. Maybe, I thought, he had discovered a disruptively unencumbered new style of leadership. Perhaps "no desk" was the natural evolution from "standing desk," another Silicon Valley efficiency cliche. So I went to Lisbon, where Williams was addressing the Web Summit tech conference, to ask him about the future. Will we all eventually find ourselves in a desk-less work environment, sprawling around on office sofas, like Williams?

I first saw him at a party hosted by Brooke Hammerling. Her Brew PR agency has long been a one-stop shop for high-level Silicon Valley connections, and her annual Web Summit party did not disappoint: It was at the Chinese Pavilion, in Lisbon’s trendy Principe Real neighbourhood, near a clifftop park that has a spectacular view of the castle that dominates the city’s skyline.

Williams didn't stay very long, although he talked to former Twitter CEO Dick Costolo, who was also at the bar, along with Juliet de Baubigny, the senior partner who just left Kleiner Perkins to join Mary Meeker's new VC firm. Rachel Dodes-Wortman, the former New York Times and Wall Street Journal writer who became head of film partnerships at Twitter (but now runs communications at Knotel), was also there. It was more of a work meeting than a party, and Williams left at around midnight, after summoning a car on his phone.

The next day, I found Williams in a conference room backstage at Lisbon's vast Altice Arena. He is tall, skinny, and his face now carries a middle-aged beard, highlighted with grey. He is, at 46, literally one of tech's legendary greybeards. He does not appear to particularly enjoy talking to the media. So he picks his words carefully, and talks in a thoughtful, deliberate way.

He is, conspicuously, sitting at a table that he is clearly using as a desk.

And he is baffled by my question.

"I have a desk!" he says.

He looks over at his PR staff. "Did that get reported, that I don't have a desk?" They remind him that it was indeed reported last year that he has no desk.

A light goes on.

"I didn't have a dedicated desk," he says, meaning that he had a desk, but not like an official desk in a stereotypical corner office, or something like that.

Free-desking didn't last long. "I got a desk in the meanwhile. I needed somewhere to put my computer."

This is disappointing.

Williams has not discovered a magical new way to run a company. He's a normal human being, with a normal desk, just like the rest of us.

If you're distressed at the volume of digital media noise funnelled at you each day, then Williams accepts the blame

Ev Williams

Well, not quite normal.

Unlike the rest of us, Williams' thoughts have had a surprisingly large impact on the way we all think.

This is the man who invented Blogger, in 1999. At the time — the early days of the internet, really — it was not obvious that there would be a vast marketplace for people who wanted to comment on news coverage originally published elsewhere. Or that billions of people would want to read summarised aggregations rather than the original reporting on which it was based. His realisation that the internet needed high-quality publishing tools for amateurs made blogging into the oxygen of the media environment. There are now 173 million blogs on the internet.

And then, in 2006, he did it again. It was equally not-obvious that anyone might want a micro-blogging platform which constrained authors' thoughts to just 140 characters. Yet now we live in a world where much of our news is delivered first on Twitter. There are 326 million Twitter users out there. It's the president of the United States' favourite bully pulpit.

Williams' thinking has made him rich. He owned 43.7 million shares of Twitter when it went public at $26 a share in 2015, making him an instant billionaire. (He has since sold at least 30% of his stake.) Not bad for the boy who grew up on a farm in Clarks, Nebraska.

If you're distressed at the volume of digital media noise funnelled at you each day, and the way Twitter reduces everything to a shallow take, shorn of detail, context or nuance ... then Williams accepts much of the blame.

He once said of President Trump's use of Twitter, "It’s a very bad thing, Twitter’s role in that ... If it’s true that he wouldn’t be president if it weren’t for Twitter, then yeah, I’m sorry." He had believed that Twitter's ability to let anyone say anything, to a wide audience, would mean that "the world is automatically going to be a better place." But, "I was wrong about that," he said.

"If you create a system that rewards attention, the easiest way to get attention is to be a bad actor. That underlies our media ecosystem, that underlies our political system, and it’s degrading society in so many ways."

Ev Williams

Later, on the 20,000-seat centre stage at Web Summit, he was asked, How do we get out of the "attention economy" feedback-loop cesspool? His reply is incredibly insightful, and it's worth reproducing in full:

"The fundamental problem that we’re focused on is a microcosm of one of the biggest problems in society, which is simply that we have created a world in which attention is rewarded in quantity. Meaning it’s not the quality of the attention, it’s not how you make people feel. It’s whether you get their attention. And we’ve optimized these systems — traditional media, social media, online and offline — where attention is rewarded, and what we can measure is rewarded. And we can measure whether people are paying attention by what page their browser is on, or what social media they’re liking, but we can’t actually measure how they feel, we can’t measure if they’re getting smarter, we can’t measure if they’re understanding the world better. So we’ve really created this system in society where the class clown, the disruptive kid in school who is very effective at getting attention, but not effective at helping people, that becomes the winning play. … Obviously, if you create a system that rewards attention, the easiest way to get attention is to be a bad actor. That underlies our media ecosystem, that underlies our political system, and it’s degrading society in so many ways."

Today, Williams has all but given up on social media, he tells Business Insider. "I've pretty much weaned myself off of being addicted to social media for instance, which I was at one time," he says.

That's an astonishing thing for the founder, former CEO, and current board member of Twitter to say. It is akin to Mark Zuckerberg announcing that he tries to not spend time on Facebook.

Now he limits — or tries to — how much time he spends looking at his phone.

"The kids are the biggest forcing function, and I'm faulty on this as well, but I'll usually make my kids breakfast and try not to be on my phone while doing that, so that's good, and then they're gone and then I'm like in work mode," he says. "I'll look at my email before I leave the house and when I'm walking to the train."

The good news is, Williams does, in fact, believe he can fix this. So it’s worth exploring the evolution of his thinking. Twice he has been ahead of the curve and created media tools that altered our universe.

Now he is trying a third time.

Monetising the value of "How I Got My Husband to Actually Do His Share of the Housework"

Ev Williams

If Blogger was an iteration of the "traditional" digital publishing done by news organisations, and Twitter was an iteration of blogging done by amateurs, then Medium is a further iteration of both. It's a publishing platform that specialises in long, thoughtful, one-off posts by writers who are not producing a stream of frequently updated content.

And it is huge.

Twenty-thousand articles are published on Medium every day, there are 20 million stories in the archive, and the site has 90 million unique readers per month. That's roughly the same as the New York Times, according to ComScore, but with only about 100 employees.

The addition of subscribers to Medium is the new innovation that is being most closely watched by competitors in the media. You can read three articles on Medium for free, every month, before you encounter a paywall. Normally, companies that charge subscriptions are offering a high-quality stream of useful, fact-checked, niche-themed content, so you know what you are getting. (The Wall Street Journal and Business Insider both want you to pay for business news, for instance.)

But Medium's content is random. On November 14, Medium’s front page had articles such as, "How I Got My Husband to Actually Do His Share of the Housework,""Where Do Our Sex Dolls Go After We Die?" and "The Books That Saved My Life in Prison." It has also published a lengthy, impressive dissection of the sham behind the infamous Stanford Prison Experiment.

Will people want to pay for a product that consists entirely of surprises, of varying quality, from writers who don't work full-time? Williams says yes. "The whole system is growing, both topline uniques, visits, posts, and subscribers," Williams says. He declines to talk about revenues, however.

Growth is not the same as profit, either. Williams has so far taken $134 million from investors since 2012, and he confirmed to Business Insider that the company remains unprofitable. The investment is a massive sum for what is, in many ways, a magazine-format media company. And six years is a long time to run without finding a way to sell your product for more money than it costs to make.

Williams says he will be seeking more investment soon. It is, perhaps, not a coincidence that he did the media tour at Web Summit in November. Good publicity often helps companies persuade VC investors to part with cash.

Medium abandoned its previous business model, advertising, over a year ago. Advertising could have been good for Medium. With 90 million users, even if the site ran only automated "programmatic" ads, it would have generated revenues in the millions of dollars. But Williams didn't go programmatic. Instead, he offered sponsored content — handcrafted stories written specifically to please brands — which Medium then promoted around its unsponsored articles.

Williams has a bewildering explanation of how this worked:

"Sponsored content is a particular type of content that we could charge to have created. So what we did was package creation, hosting, and distribution. And so the creation of that content isn't the creation of other content, it's the creation of sponsored content. So the only way for that to pay for non-sponsored content is by advertising the sponsored content on the non-sponsored content. Meaning, we could get paid for creating sponsored content but we couldn't pay someone who was creating non-sponsored content, except by putting ads on the non-sponsored for the sponsored content, and then that is being monetised. So our company is being monetized with sponsored content, the content that is not sponsored is being monetised with an ad."

He pauses for a beat, and adds, "We stopped all that."

His former girlfriend once told The New York Times: "He’s not CEO material"

Ev Williams

"We stopped all that" are four words that cover a tough period inside Medium. Fifty people — one-third of the workforce — were laid off in 2017 as Medium pivoted away from advertising. He cut ties with a number of publishing partners. He made a lot of people angry. Sources told Business Insider at the time that they regarded Medium as a "s---show" and a disorganised "vanity startup."

Read more:INSIDE MEDIUM'S MELTDOWN: How an idealistic Silicon Valley founder raised $134 million to change journalism, then crashed into reality.

The episode also burnished Williams' reputation as not-the-best-CEO-who-ever-walked-the-Earth. In addition to being Twitter's creator, he was also the CEO from 2008 to 2010, a time remembered for infighting between the founders. Current Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey — who still sits on the board with Williams — was once asked by The New Yorker what he was thinking in 2010 when he helped persuade the board to force Williams out of the chief executive’s chair in favour of Dick Costolo. "Was I thinking, Screw Ev? Emotionally, was I asking that? I don’t know. Maybe," he said.

"I’ve screwed up in many, many, many ways in terms of managing people,"Williams admitted in 2010. Even his girlfriend agreed: "It was bitter, horrible and tough. He’s not CEO material. It doesn’t play to his strengths. He’s a better inventor; he’s better at coming up with ideas,"Meg Hourihan told the Times.

But that was eight years ago. Things have changed. Williams has evolved.

The stuff that gets the most traffic is often the most awful content on the net: Porn. Clickbait. Politically biased news.

Ev Williams

The real problem with advertising on Medium, Williams says now, is that "I didn't think it would ultimately create the incentive structure we were trying to do, which was to really reward the best content. You can build a business around it, but it doesn't directly support great content."

That bit about "reward the best content"?

That is key to understanding why Williams has eschewed the simplest, most lucrative way — advertising — of monetising his site. To make advertising pay, sites need to rack up huge audiences. The problem is that the content that gets the most traffic is often the most awful content on the net: Porn. Clickbait. Politically biased news. That's how a bunch of teenagers in Macedonia got rich in 2016, by pumping out fake pro-Trump stories for gullible Americans to click on, such as "Michelle was caught cheating with Eric Holder — OBAMA IS FURIOUS!!!"

And that's why Williams regards the internet as being like a "car crash." Everyone stares at car crashes. But the internet interprets this as a demand for car-crash content, and supplies ever more of it. Williams wants to turn that on its head and create a virtuous cycle in which people are rewarded for supplying only the highest-quality content. People are happy to tolerate advertising alongside free porn. But they are generally only willing to pay to read reliable, helpful material.

He is rewarding that content financially, too. A team of editors now assigns paid freelance articles, just like a magazine. And anyone can sign up to Medium's "Partner Program," which gives writers a slice of each $5 subscription based on how deep a subscriber's engagement went.

"Our content spend in 2018 will be more than $5 million. We are budgeting multiples of that for next year," Williams says.

As an example, Williams talks about a recent article on how to set up your iPhone for minimal distraction. "It was a 73-minute read. It was deep, meaningful content but it can be curiosity driven, it can be utility driven, it can be every topic under the sun."

"I'm still just obsessed about how I use my time"

Ev Williams

"Minimal distraction" is a subject close to Williams' heart. As an ex-social media addict, he is trying not to use his iPhone. He has switched off many of its notifications and tries not to take it with him to events with friends or children.

"I'm still just obsessed about how I use my time," he says.

And does he really wear a wristwatch so that he isn't tempted to look at his phone to see the time?

"I do wear a watch. It's a regular old-fashioned wind-y watch." Then he gestures to the watch with his free hand, in a jokey way, as if he’s trying to sell it on a cable TV shopping channel, and says, "It's a Vacheron. A Swiss watch. It's very nice. I sometimes wear a Swatch, but this is my fancy watch." And we all laugh.

He doesn't know which model of Vacheron Constantin he is wearing — "It's the very thin one?"— but a cheap Vacheron retails for £16,500 ($21,000) and an expensive one will run you to £69,300 ($89,000).

Williams says he has not been successful in leading a distraction-free life.

"I try to but just like all of us, I'm faulty."

That obsession with time well-spent recently reared its head inside Medium's HQ. Williams was trying to solve a problem regarding Medium's recommendation system. Readers who like what they find on Medium can offer "claps" (similar to likes), or share it on social media (like Twitter), or respond with a comment. Every website has something similar.

Read more:Here's how the other Twitter cofounders reacted to Jack Dorsey becoming CEO.

But Williams believes that Medium's comments ecosystem has a unique advantage. On Medium, comments are called "responses," and they don't thread like other comments sections. It suppresses trolls and insults, and promotes positive, helpful responses. Comments don't get shown to other readers unless the author approves them and if the reader follows the commenter. The author has control over what responses are elevated above the rest, by either clapping or responding to the conversation. Other comments — negative criticisms, random bulls--t — can be removed by the author, or are otherwise "buried" a click away from the story itself. At the same time, writing a comment on Medium involves creating something that looks like a separate post, making the writer feel self-conscious about using the format for a quick insult. When you log in, other users reward you with notifications if they think your comments are good.

Put those two things together: A revenue system that rewards high-quality work; and a recommendation ecosystem that suppresses trolls and promotes constructive behaviour: That’s Williams’ latest evolution.

Meetings that last as long as an entire working day

Ev Williams

Williams got to this place in part by instituting his favourite new management trick: Meetings that last as long as an entire working day.

"Here's a thing I believe in and want do more: Have fewer but longer meetings," he says.

Most people hate meetings. There's a whole management school ideology around holding meetings while standing up, or walking outside, or banning PowerPoint, to make them shorter and more focused. Is he serious?

"Longer meetings, yes," he says.

"This is a counterintuitive thing," he says. "Often there's complex problems. You have a series of meetings, you never make progress because it's like cleaning out a closet. You actually have to get everything out, and get organised, and dedicate a significant amount of time to actually crack the nut of a complex problem rather than chip away at it incrementally and when you identify those problems it's actually a lot more productive to get everyone together for half a day, or a day, and actually figure something out, than to do it in your regularly scheduled meeting. That's a trick I am a fan of."

"We had one of those ... last week." It was a half-day meeting on the recommendation system, and it brought in engineers and product managers, after months of development. Staff were asked, "OK, what have we learned, what do we know? Rather than just the weekly 'what are we doing next?' It's complex, it's big, and we made a lot more progress in that meeting than we had for a while," Williams says.

"As we started focusing on subscriptions, rather than just engagement, we found that the quality of stories mattered, not just whether someone was interested in it (or even whether they read it). Quality is, of course, still hard for machines to determine, so in the last year we started doing a lot more human curation, which has driven a change in our machine-based recommendations," he says.

"This year, we built a new recommendations engine from scratch. It's doing better than the old system, but we think it can be a lot better. There are many ways we might go about this — from focusing more on topics, to various NLP [natural language processing] techniques, to author-follow relationships, to collaborative filtering, and other [machine learning]-based techniques. We have tried a whole bunch of things, some which have worked, some which have not."

"It takes time to get up to speed on what we've done and what we've learned recently, it wouldn't have worked to have a regular one-hour meeting. And if we'd had a series of shorter meetings instead, we would have had to reboot the discussion each time," he says.

The latest iteration of Ev is determined to learn from his mistakes — so he gets anonymous HR reviews from his staff

ev williams

But do his staff like it? Or are they thinking, "Oh my god, Ev wants another one of his endless meetings"?

He laughs, "As a CEO you never really know the truth, but they said they liked it! I'll have to get the anonymous feedback."

That is another way that Williams has evolved. Now, he is more determined to learn from his mistakes. He receives regular, anonymous "360-degree" feedback from staff on what he is like as a boss.

"I did one just recently," he told us. "There was some bad stuff so I assume there's a least some truth. But it was super helpful. The last one I did was probably a year and half ago [right after the layoffs and the pivot from advertising] and then I just did another one. It gets interesting when you actually see change."

"The first one that I really took to heart was that I say I am interested in the bad news and negative feedback but I don't actually act like it, so …" he tails off, laughing at himself.

"The bad tendency was to dismiss people's concerns if I didn't believe they were valid. Before, I dismissed it. So now it's about listening better and acknowledging the concern, making sure I acknowledge the validity of the concern even if I disagreed that it was a problem."

"There was less bad stuff. So either people are less truthful or I made progress!"

Ev Williams

Since the Times' "no desk" story ran, Williams has become increasingly deskbound, in part because he wants to listen more to his staff.

"We rearranged the office. I kind of wasn't talking with my executives enough so we put our desks altogether, so we have a place just to have casual conversations. It's in the open. I also have a dedicated conference room that I call 'my office.' There is this Silicon Valley image of, you just don't have an office, and you are mixed in with the people. But I need a place to meet [privately] with people, also. It's helpful to be able to close the door and have conversations. I also make a lot of phone calls."

On any given day, "I'm barely at my desk. I'm often in my conference room," he says.

At one level, the no-desk thing is trivial. He tried an office without a desk, but now he uses a desk to help him communicate with his people. So what? Big deal.

But it typifies the evolving, layered way Williams thinks. A desk is just a thing you put your computer on, sure. But its position also determines who gets to talk to you, and who does not; what information reaches you, and what does not. (Pretty much like the positioning of a publishing platform in a media ecosystem.)

Right now, Williams is trying to listen more. He thinks he is succeeding. In the anonymous HR review he got recently, he tells me: "There was less bad stuff. So either people are less truthful or I made progress!"

SEE ALSO: Facebook's user base is declining in Europe, and that ought to terrify its American bosses

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NOW WATCH: A running coach explains how to get through the NYC marathon this weekend

Brexit is now such a headache that the UK is 'uninvestable,' according to one of Wall Street's best respected research houses

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City of London trader sad

  • Analysts at Bernstein, one of the best-respected research houses on Wall Street, believe that the UK's Brexit future is so unclear that the country is currently "uninvestable."
  • "With UK politics in the midst of Brexit turmoil what are investors meant to do?"— Bernstein's Inigo Fraser-Jenkins and his team asked in a note to clients.
  • The note comes after a chaotic four days of developments in Brexit, which has left a no deal outcome on the table and Prime Minister Theresa May teetering on the brink.

The last week has been, to put it gently, an eventful one in British politics, and developments around Brexit are now so uncertain that Bernstein, one of the best-respected research houses on Wall Street, thinks the UK is — right now at least — "uninvestable."

Writing in a note to clients on Friday, the Bernstein team led to by Inigo Fraser-Jenkins admitted that UK political developments are now so unpredictable that it is virtually impossible to model them into an investment strategy.

"With UK politics in the midst of Brexit turmoil what are investors meant to do?" Fraser-Jenkins and his team asked.

"We think that the UK market might be 'uninvestable' in the specific sense that the near term movement is likely to be dominated by political forces that, bluntly, are very hard to model."

"Sometimes this moment of extreme uncertainty proves to be a cathartic moment for risk assets marking a floor. Maybe. But there are also good reasons to see why uncertainty could persist," the team continued.

"Why take the risk of buying such a market?"

To be clear, Bernstein's team are not saying that the UK's fundamentals are so bad it does not recommend investing, but is simply pointing out that the lack of political clarity makes it very difficult to determine asset price movements.

Read more: '28 months of work undone in hours': The City of London reacts to the chaos of Theresa May's crumbling Brexit deal

In the longer term, however, things are still pretty foggy, so the firm recommends being underweight on UK stocks.

"On a longer horizon uncertainty seems likely to hang over the UK for some time to come which, we assume, will act to dampen investment. Over that longer horizon we would underweight the UK versus other regions," the team wrote.

Bernstein's call comes after four utterly chaotic days in European politics. On Tuesday evening rumours began to swirl that the UK had secured an initial Brexit deal with the European Union, sending the pound skyrocketing. 

Just over 24 hours later, Prime Minister Theresa May appeared outside Number 10 Downing Street, confirming that a deal had been struck, and that it had the backing of her Cabinet.

By Thursday morning, however, three Cabinet members, including Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab, had resigned saying they could not back May's deal, and the hardline European Research Group was laying the foundations for a coup against May. There is not likely to be a majority in the House of Commons that would favour the deal. 

Within a day of May announcing her deal it looked to be dead in the water, and investors were not best pleased. The pound suffered its worst day in over a year, while UK banking stocks crashed, with some touching levels not seen since the day after the initial Brexit vote.

Markets calmed down on Friday, but huge uncertainty remained. For as long as that persists, expect investors to be incredibly wary of the UK.

SEE ALSO: LIVE: Theresa May grilled on her Brexit plans as Michael Gove considers quitting government

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NOW WATCH: 4 lottery winners who lost it all

These 2 tech founders lost their friends in tragic accidents. Now they've built AI chatbots to give people life after death

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Eternime graphic

  • Netflix drama "Black Mirror" once imagined a world in which tech could be used to recreate the dead. Now, people are working to make that a reality.
  • Tech firm Eternime is beta testing an app that will allow users to create a digital "avatar" of themselves after they die.
  • Eternime is not the only firm experimenting with AI technology to give people a voice after death.
  • Business Insider spoke to four people working in and researching the death tech space. They laid out the benefits and dangers of creating digital alter-egos that live on after you die.

If thousands of years of human storytelling is anything to go by, waking the dead is rarely a good idea. From ancient Greece to "Black Mirror," fiction tells us that there are drawbacks in summoning loved ones from the grave.

But one tech entrepreneur is working to turn these tales on their head. Marius Ursache wants to make digital copies of the dead.

The 41-year-old grew up in Romania where he studied to be a doctor. He set up his own web design company while at medical school and dipped his toe in fintech, but quit because he hated working with banks.

He started taking courses at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, which is where he got the inspiration for a grander venture: Eternime.

Enter Eternime

The company was founded in 2014, and hopes to make people "virtually immortal" by creating a digital avatar of people after they die. Soon after founding Eternime, personal tragedy gave the project new meaning when Ursache lost his best friend in a car accident.

He repetitively watched footage of his friend's TEDx talk after his death. "It made me remember how important that person was to my life and how lucky I was for having him in my life and learning so many things from him," he said. He hopes Eternime could have a similar effect.

Marius Ursache

At the moment, Eternime takes the form of an app which collects data about you. It does this in two ways: Automatically harvesting heaps of smartphone data, and by asking you questions through a chatbot.

The goal is to collect enough data about you so that when the technology catches up, it will be able to create a chatbot "avatar" of you after you die, which your loved ones can then interact with.

"We collect geolocation, motion, activity, health app data, sleep data, photos, messages that users put in the app. We also collect Facebook data from external sources," Ursache told Business Insider. This is all done, of course, with your explicit permission.

A prototype demo of Eternime was recently on display in London's Victoria and Albert Museum, showing its user interface and how it amasses data from its users' digital lives.

Ursache has been funding the project with his cofounder and CTO Claudiu Baciu, who he met working at his first company. In the future, Ursache hopes to release Eternime as a free service with premium account options, but said he would never run ads.

"Even basic things like profiling would be a breach of privacy and confidence, so we're going to try to support basically the free plans through subscription fees from other users," he said.

Eterime chatbot

The beta test has more than 40,000 signups, according to Eternime's website, but is so far only in the hands of around 40 people. The test involves users chronicling their day-to-day lives. Business Insider spoke to one of Eternime's beta testers, Claudiu Jojatu, who has been using the app for about a year.

"For me it's very important, and I am using it every day as a personal journal. I input a lot of data on how was my day and how I felt that day. And then it's very cool that it synchronises with my Facebook account and with my pictures from the phone," Jojatu said.

Eternime feels like having a "digital alter-ego," he added, and although the afterlife functionality of Eternime is a while off, Jojatu is relishing the prospect.

"Probably 99% of our memories get lost, and it's kind of awesome to know that you can actually leave something behind," he said.

How would you want to be remembered?

That same thought struck Eugenia Kuyda when her close friend Roman Mazurenko died in a car accident in 2015. He was just 32. Kuyda missed Roman so much, she created a chatbot of him.

"Roman was a close friend and a special one," Kuyda told Business Insider over email. "I wanted to tell a story about him and tell him some things I hadn't been able to. I put together around 10,000 of his text messages and together with a brilliant AI engineer on our team, Artem, we made a bot that could replicate the way Roman used to speak."

Eugenia Kuyda and Roman

From Roman, Replika was born. Replika is an app in which you confide in an AI-powered chatbot that learns about you as you chat to it. The app has more than 200,000 monthly active users, and has raised $11 million from investors including Y Combinator and All Turtles, the incubator run by former Evernote CEO Phil Libin.

Ursache recognizes the crossover with Eternime. "I think in terms of approach and mindset and surprisingly even personal stories, Replika is our closest competitor that we have," he said.

Creating Roman was a personal project and a memorial for a friend, but Kuyda points out that building chatbots like Roman's on a commercial scale poses a myriad technical and ethical challenges. For example: At what age do you wish to be immortalised?

"This is especially true for older people or people that have Alzheimer's and other diseases that change the way they act and talk a lot. Do you want to talk to your grandpa in his 20s? Or the grandpa you remember when you were a kid?" she said.

She also pointed out that a chatbot might accidentally divulge information the deceased would not otherwise disclose to their loved ones. "Think for example if you're building a bot for your best friend and she was gay and her brother doesn't know — will you program it to understand who the bot is talking to it? It's not an easy problem ethically and technically."

Ursache recognised that this is a challenge Eternime will have to overcome, especially if family members feel uncomfortable with the idea a chatbot that could potentially say anything.

The dangers of being virtually immortal

There are many other moral quandaries to consider. Researcher Carl Öhman, of the Oxford Internet Institute, explored the potential problems with "re-creation services" in a paper published in Nature, which named Eternime and Replika.

"The main problem as I see it is the updating of software," he told Business Insider. If you sign up to have your chatbot stored forever by a company, you won't be able to sign off on any software updates that might change the way that bot functions after you die.

tay holocaust microsoft

He also warned that algorithms have been known to act unpredictably. "Just look at what happened to Microsoft's Twitter chatbot Tay — it turned into a racist, Holocaust-denying, bigot within a matter of hours. How can we guarantee this doesn't happen with chatbots claiming to portray a real person?"

"The crucial thing is that consumers understand how the data is to be used after their death, this is difficult to guarantee when you use complex algorithms fed with many different data sources,"Öhman added.

Ursache admits that the bots responding to stimuli poses an ethical conundrum. "There's tonnes of things to think of ethically and technically and behaviorally," he said.

Problems for the living

Another big question Eternime throws up is whether it's healthy for living people to interact with a digital alter-ego of their deceased loved ones.

Another tech entrepreneur looking to break into death care is concerned by this. Mark Alhermizi is the CEO of Everdays, a company which creates pop-up social networks when a person dies. These networks are used to notify people of that person's death, and thus far have been set up via funeral homes, although Everdays has recently launched a consumer app.

Everdays (smaller)

Alhermizi is optimistic about the potential tech has to improve the death care sector, but the thought of a legacy chatbot like Eternime's troubles him.

"The problem ethically allowing this to exist... is that you get stuck living a false reality," he told Business Insider. Alhermizi referred to the "Black Mirror" episode "Be Right Back," in which a bereaved woman resurrects her partner using his data but it quickly turns sour.

He is not worried about the immediate future, because the tech isn't yet good enough to make an AI chatbot that convincingly imitates a person.

"But one day they will be good, and I think about what the consequences are for people using them. Forget about ethics, it's about them living in a false reality. Not just not moving on with grief, but not moving on with their lives," he added.

Ursache said he collaborated with psychologists when designing Eternime, but admits there could be unforeseen consequences, like people isolating themselves because they become too involved with a chatbot.

black mirror be right back

For the moment at least, he said Eternime is beneficial because people can use it to reflect. "We had people from the beta programmes who said it's like having an imaginary friend and it's providing some comfort," he said.

Ultimately, Ursache and Alhermizi think tech needs to move into death care in earnest. "This is one area of human life that I don't think has been improved or touched by technology," said Ursache.

But researcher Carl Öhman thinks regulation needs to be set up before "digital afterlife services" become commonplace. "As a society, we should think twice before we leave the nature of our afterlives entirely to an unregulated market," he said.

We may be getting closer to making thousands of years of human storytelling about speaking to the the dead a reality, but it will not be without its dangers.

SEE ALSO: Google's cutting-edge artificial-intelligence unit is costing millions

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THE AI DISRUPTION BUNDLE: The guide to understanding how artificial intelligence is impacting the world (AMZN, AAPL, GOOGL)

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This is a preview of a research report bundle from Business Insider Intelligence, Business Insider's premium research service. To learn more about Business Intelligence, click here.

Artificial intelligence (AI) isn't a part of the future of technology. AI is the future of technology.

Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg have even publicly debated whether or not that will turn out to be a good thing.

global ai commerce financing trend

Voice assistants like Apple's Siri and Amazon's Alexa have become more and more prominent in our lives, and that will only increase as they learn more skills.

These voice assistants are set to explode as more devices powered by AI enter the market. Most of the major technology players have some sort of smart home hub, usually in the form of a smart speaker. These speakers, like the Amazon Echo or Apple HomePod, are capable of communicating with a majority of WiFi-enabled devices throughout the home.

While AI is having an enormous impact on individuals and the smart home, perhaps its largest impact can be felt in the e-commerce space. In the increasingly cluttered e-commerce space, personalization is one of the key differentiators retailers can turn towards to stand out to consumers. In fact, retailers that have implemented personalization strategies see sales gains of 6-10%, at a rate two to three times faster than other retailers, according to a report by Boston Consulting Group.

This can be accomplished by leveraging machine learning technology to sift through customer data to present the relevant information in front of that consumer as soon as they hit the page.

With hundreds of hours of research condensed into three in-depth reports, Business Intelligence is here to help get you caught up on what you need to know on how AI is disrupting your business or your life.

Below you can find more details on the three reports that make up the AI Disruption Bundle, including proprietary insights from the 16,000-member BI Insiders Panel:

AI Banking Cover

AI in Banking and Payments

Artificial intelligence (AI) is one of the most commonly referenced terms by financial institutions (FIs) and payments firms when describing their vision for the future of financial services.

AI can be applied in almost every area of financial services, but the combination of its potential and complexity has made AI a buzzword, and led to its inclusion in many descriptions of new software, solutions, and systems.

This report cuts through the hype to offer an overview of different types of AI, and where they have potential applications within banking and payments. It also emphasizes which applications are most mature, provides recommendations of how FIs should approach using the technology, and offers examples of where FIs and payments firms are already leveraging AI. The report draws on executive interviews Business Intelligence conducted with leading financial services providers, such as Bank of America, Capital One, and Mastercard, as well as top AI vendors like Feedzai, Expert System, and Kasisto.

AI Supply Chain

AI in Supply Chain and Logistics

Major logistics providers have long relied on analytics and research teams to make sense of the data they generate from their operations.

AI’s ability to streamline so many supply chain and logistics functions is already delivering a competitive advantage for early adopters by cutting shipping times and costs. A cross-industry study on AI adoption conducted in early 2017 by McKinsey found that early adopters with a proactive AI strategy in the transportation and logistics sector enjoyed profit margins greater than 5%. Meanwhile, respondents in the sector that had not adopted AI were in the red.

However, these crucial benefits have yet to drive widespread adoption. Only 21% of the transportation and logistics firms in McKinsey’s survey had moved beyond the initial testing phase to deploy AI solutions at scale or in a core part of their business. The challenges to AI adoption in the field of supply chain and logistics are numerous and require major capital investments and organizational changes to overcome.

explores the vast impact that AI techniques like machine learning will have on the supply chain and logistics space. We detail the myriad applications for these computational techniques in the industry, and the adoption of those different applications. We also share some examples of companies that have demonstrated success with AI in their supply chain and logistics operations. Lastly, we break down the many factors that are holding organizations back from implementing AI projects and gaining the full benefits of this disruptive technology.

AI in E-Commerce Report

ai ecommerce

One of retailers' top priorities is to figure out how to gain an edge over Amazon. To do this, many retailers are attempting to differentiate themselves by creating highly curated experiences that combine the personal feel of in-store shopping with the convenience of online portals.

These personalized online experiences are powered by artificial intelligence (AI). This is the technology that enables e-commerce websites to recommend products uniquely suited to shoppers, and enables people to search for products using conversational language, or just images, as though they were interacting with a person.

Using AI to personalize the customer journey could be a huge value-add to retailers. Retailers that have implemented personalization strategies see sales gains of 6-10%, a rate two to three times faster than other retailers, according to a report by Boston Consulting Group (BCG). It could also boost profitability rates 59% in the wholesale and retail industries by 2035, according to Accenture.

This report illustrates the various applications of AI in retail and use case studies to show how this technology has benefited retailers. It assesses the challenges that retailers may face as they implement AI, specifically focusing on technical and organizational challenges. Finally, the report weighs the pros and cons of strategies retailers can take to successfully execute AI technologies in their organization.

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